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EDUCATING FOR ADAPTIVE CHANGE BENEATH A DARKENING SKY

9 Dec

[Prefatory Note: This is a revised text of my presentation at the 4th Istanbul Education Summit made on December 7, 2024, held under the auspices of the Maarif Foundation in Turkey that is responsible for a network of schools and universities present in 134 countries. About 11k were registered online for the conference. I found it difficult to address in what was listed in the program as the ‘keynote’ to such an unseen, large, disparate audience. The conference theme was ‘Education for a Fair and Equitable Society: For a Sustainable Future.’

As a result, my remarks were overly rooted in my experience in Western, especially US, higher education and exhibited broader interests in lending support to efforts to ground foreign policy on respect for international law, itself flawed, and the imperatives of peace, equity, justice, and non-theocratic spirituality. Despite my faltering efforts, educational reform should be near the top of the policy agenda of those seeking a brighter future for humanity, which can only come into being by trusting the imagination to overcome the disasters attributable to reason-based instrumental knowledge that lacks compassion for suffering, including of non-human species.]

EDUCATING FOR ADAPTIVE CHANGE BENEATH DARKENING SKIES

I thank the Maarif Foundation for inviting me to speak at the 4th Istanbul Education Summit and for orienting our sense of vocation as educators toward a future that will test the capacities of every national society to address the distinctive blend of social, economic, cultural and ecological threats that currently cast dark shadows over the human future. I will do my best to adopt a hopeful standpoint, although my rational self believes the conference theme is probably articulating a mission impossible. Such rationality accepts guidance from the evidence of world conditions combined limits on the autonomy of many educators, faculty and administrators, and even students to heed their ‘better angels.’  

My more inspirational guidance is borrowed from Nelson Mandela, whose life embodied ‘the politics of impossibility’ emerging from prison after 27 years to lead South Africa to a peaceful post-apartheid future. In Nelson Mandela’s judgment: “Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world.” This uplifting affirmation of the importance of education by Mandela leaves open the haunting question of how this may be done in the highly diverse academic institutions responsible for education throughout the world. It also leaves open the question of ‘change for what?’ While acknowledging obstacles, my answer to such questions is the same as those who set the 2024 Summit theme in relation to societal equity and developmental sustainability.

In facing the darkness of the time, highlighted by the inability of the international system of norms present in the UN Charter and the refusal of leading political actors to take steps to stop Israel’s genocide in Gaza, and even worse these UN members facilitated the continuation of the Genocide carried on with undiminished fury by Israel these past 14 months. It would be easy to succumb to despair given such a horrifying reality. We must struggle against all temptations and pressures to surrender to these evil forces. My hopeful sensibility continues to believe that if we can find the techniques and deploy the wisdom to manage prudently and empathetically this time of global transition a bright future could surprise us. We need to act as if the mobilized humanistic energies of civil society and the peoples of the world retain an ability to bestow on coming generations a world far more peaceful, just, and resilient than what currently exists. This is a challenge of global scope. It presupposes robust responses to mounting threats to the sustainability of the natural habitat. This condition of ecological jeopardy is new. It a worrisome set of circumstances that have never in world history menaced the whole of humanity. A scenario of hope calls for new thinking, new values, and adaptive visions of how to live together in ecologically durable and ethically fulfilling ways. It place trust in the moral imagination of the populace, and doubts the competence or good will of self-interested economic and political elites that run the world we all live in.

For us today, however situated we are on the planet, this current crisis agenda raises crucial questions about the nature of desired effects on the educational experience of youth. The practical concern is whether it is feasible to adapt teaching/learning approaches in various concrete circumstances  that give priority to overcoming the injustices and environmental crimes that now obscure horizons of hope.

For education to play this emancipatory role, existing framework of learning, researching, and envisioning is itself in need of radical repair. The objective is to make the range of educational experiences more responsive to the values of an equitable society and the adjustments that need to be made to ensure the pervasive inclusion of sustainability dimensions in all pedagogical settings.

The deepest educational responsibility and opportunity is to prepare students of ages to live in a world facing drastic change and profound challenges to traditional ways of knowing, believing, and acting. This goes against the current of mainstream proposals for educational reform, which devote their attention to techniques helpful for the efficient manipulation of material reality for the sake of profits, growth, and contentment. Such an emphasis suggests that the highest educational priority should clearly be to teach skills and understandings appropriate to the digital age, and making digital literacy the test of whether educational institutions can pass the test of imparting digital literacy. While practically responsive to changes brought about by technological innovations, this emphasis evades the more fundamental challenges that might help society withstand the gathering storm.

In my opinion, what is most needed are types of learning that equip students when they finish their education to be positive contributors to a better future by way of their social engagements relating to the future. This means no longer being content to be passive spectators in a world they have been led to believe is beyond their capacity or disposition to alter. For education to be relevant functionally and normatively, there is a need for receptivity to innovative pedagogies that might be developed and applied so that citizens of the future could more become committed to a lifetime of support for adaptive change.

The Global Context. All forms of traditional education that I am familiar with, starting with high school, concentrates its energies on the mastery of distinct subject matters. I mean by these separated silos of knowledge such as math, various sciences, economics, history, and literature. Such an education seeks to prepare students through in depth teaching of various strands of knowledge and skill sets useful for later employment or for a more appreciative humanistic sense of culture, generally emphasizing national or civilizational perspectives. Most teaching takes the natural setting of human activity for granted, there to be exploited for the benefit of various national societies and aggressive commercial entrepreneurs. Such an approach served the modern world quite well until recently. It encouraged a sense of reality and knowledge as fragmented and specialized, the educational goal being gaining command of a knowledge silo, that is, with a distinct part with little relevance accorded to the whole. This orientation tended to be insensitive to the stark reality that societies could no longer safely assume the sustainability of their natural habitat that has allowed individual and collective life to flourish for several centuries without taking notice of externalities such as remote environmental harms. Fragmentation of knowledge also mirrored the global reality as divided into parts, predominantly sovereign states with little sense of responsibility for the stability of other states, and even less for the sustainability of the whole.

Our cultural learning experiences beyond the domains of technical knowledge, by and large nurtures love of country, its history, culture, language along with the distinct ethnicities that give national identities to the sovereign states that we live in. I think these ways of breaking up reality, whether political, societal, or educational are practical accommodations to our experience of living, doing, and being, reflecting the enclosures that shape and condition our lives, especially since the rise of science-oriented approaches to useful knowledge. These enclosures are part of who we are, and should not be rejected, but rather enlarged, merged, and adapted. This expresses the growing need to supplement traditional ideas about the role of higher education as imparting knowledge mostly as specialized and fragmented units. This would adapt the world we are accustomed to inhabit to this broader, growing awareness of wholeness, interactivity and interdependence, as well as otherness. To a much greater extent than in earlier periods of history, what is done in one place impacts elsewhere.

This sense of a global context for human activity underlies recommended partial reorientations of education for the future of the sort envisioned by the Summit theme. It is what I believe will produce more fulfilled lives for present and future generations of students. Hopefully it will also give rise to a social and ethical consciousness in greater harmony with emergent realities and challenges. However much this adaptive approach to education seems persuasive it will if pursued face formidable obstacles, including from special interests that benefit from the existing order and from entrenched beliefs resistant to change. Economic elites often resist equitable and ecological adaptations, whether due to their perceived short-run negative effects on profitability or economic growth as when energy giants oppose environmental protections or regulations of carbon emissions. This opposition is reinforced by the tendency of dominant political classes to oppose changes that displace national security by appeals to human security that is widely regarded as subversive of military spending and societal safety in relation to foreign threats. Nationalist and fundamentalists, whether secular or religious, tend to be protective of beliefs that privilege the part over the whole within as well as without their enclosures. And thus, if we take this Summit theme seriously as generating normative guidelines for educational adaptation it will confront stiff opposition and resistance. Nevertheless, reality has its way of forcing itself upon social consciousness sooner or later, and education helps explain why.

Oddly, perhaps the best way of learning to face a challenging future is to consider the past. From diverse pre-modern ways of being in the world we can learn the importance of living-with-nature, communal identity, and more equitable ways of living together. While from the early modern liberation of law, politics, and ethics we can learn the benefits of emancipation from the tyranny of superstition and certain constraints on educational freedoms deriving especially from institutionalized religion. Modernity brought especially to industrializing societies in the West a sense of progress based on technological and material progress that freed many millions of people from poverty, illiteracy, dangerous work, and short life expectancies enabling more satisfying lives. Modernity led to educational adaptations to meet the needs and beliefs of a science and knowledge-based new order. Similarly, the destructiveness of religious rivalries and its connections with the imperial expansionism of the Global West led to widespread colonialism in the Global South, generating over time nationalist, anti-colonial movements of self-determination and resistance. The point I am trying to make is that the critical study of history helps students realize that the challenges of the present that are now so threatening were always fused in troublesome ways with the life experience of the human species for as long as humans have inhabited the earth. True the emergent future we now face is both radical and novel in substance and scope, expressive of an unmanageable and uniquely dangerous period of history. Current challenges can be made less menacing if tempered by sensitive portrayals of past historical analogues, and the efforts of contemporary storytellers to narrate the dilemmas of change versus tradition over time in human relations and in the broader dynamics of organized society, which is best captured by a dialectical sense of history.

More specifically, we can now ask in this hyper-modern atmosphere, ‘where is this likely to lead society?’  I offer three focal points of the tensions between benevolent and adaptive change as opposed by mal-adaptive forces associated with capitalism and state-centric global self-interested resistance to change: wholeness, fairness, otherness.

wholeness: the sense that in addition to national, ethnic, religious, cultural, class, and gender identities we are now in need of developing what can be called ‘a human identity’ or ‘a species identity’; what is declared is a condition of mutual dependence when it comes to addressing climate change, biodiversity, ocean resilience, and global security. It is time for civil society to nurture sensitivities associated with citizenship in the world with displacing the positive sides of national citizenship. To surmount and survive we need new patriotisms to the earth and to humanity.

A way of conceiving this abstract issue is to select a concrete instance where global security shifted from a reliance on military superiority to one of bonded interests for even the most hostile confrontations between enemy states.

The use of atomic bombs at the end of World War II against Japanese cities signaled the onset of this break in the dynamics of global security that led to divergent responses: nuclear disarmament and a strong UN; a nuclear arms race; the Cold War ‘balance of terror’ domesticated as ‘mutual deterrence,’ and global governance a oligopoly of the principal nuclear states.  

 The Great Power structure of global governance with respect to global security given the existence of nuclear weapons is illustrative—it involved  the appearance of an equitable treaty bargain in which states not possessing the weapons would give up the right to develop and possess such weaponry. In exchange states possessing the weapons pledged their good faith in the form of a commitment to denuclearize by disarming stages, and accept accompanying abridgements of national sovereignty in the form of intrusive international inspection to verify compliance and detect cheating. This path to a world without nuclear weapons was cynically endorsed by the nuclear weapons states, but in practice treated as a ‘useful fiction,’ operationalizing claimed to be eliminating, that is, the permanent possession and development of nuclear weapons. This geopolitical fakery went unchallenged for more than half a century, to be nominally challenged by a coalition of governments from the Global South, awakened from their long sleep, and putting before the world a treaty in 2021 Treaty of Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. The three NATO nuclear weapons states expressed their opposition to this denuclearizing inititiative, acknowledging their unconvincing belief that the world was safer if it continued to rely on the guardianship of the weaponry by way of the unregulated deterrence as geopolitically managed.

What has been operationalized over the decades includes discriminatory tolerance and coercive denial of proliferation options to non-nuclear states (compare Israel and Iran) coupled with the refusal of nuclear states to disarm or become transparent about their currently secretive doctrines of nuclear use. This reality reflects living with what I would identify as the primacy of geopolitics. In my language it accepts living indefinitely with negative wholeness. It also entails foregoing the opportunity to build a peace and security system on the basis of positive wholeness that relied on respect for law and morality and recognized that retaining nuclear weapons meant living permanently with the menace of a nuclear war that could occur at any moment, likely destroying all that has been built over the centuries. It also meant weakening the authority of international law by entrapping non-nuclear states in a treaty bargain that they largely kept, while the nuclear states consolidated their control of geopolitics.

Underneath retaining this capability to destroy civilization was the holistic realization that a major war fought with nuclear weapons would destroy not only the warring states but spill its lethal effect over to neutral states, potentially putting modern life on the entire planet at risk. In this sense the negative wholeness of a possible nuclear war remains an abiding danger that has failed to cause sufficient pressure to bring about conditions of positive wholeness. We seem doomed to live indefinitely with the  awareness that life under the shadow of nuclear weapons is a catastrophe waiting to happen. Such a prospect has been given a frightening plausibility by recent escalations in the Ukraine War. Ukraine being given permission by the US Government to shoot long-range weaponry deep into Russian territory and Moscow threatening to use nuclear weapons in retaliation against NATO weapons supplying countries.  How should educators treat this defining reality of the last 80 years? Or should such a reality be outside what we want young people to learn about? Do we want to shield students from grim features of the present human condition or we have the courage to expose these dangers in ways that include the presentations of ways to surmount such catastrophic threats?   

This same logic even more clearly pertains to ecological challenges of our time, most notably climate change. Global warming endangers social wellbeing, even our physical survival, throughout the planet, but it cannot be solved without a strong turn toward positive wholeness, and a cooperative approach that requires sacrifice and commitment. Because ecological challenges are somewhat more openly addressed and acknowledged by the established order, the possibility of education-driven adaptations are greater, offering a variety of teaching, training, and learning given practical relevance in the everyday the everyday encounters with polluted air, poisoned soil, and acidic oceans. This ecological concreteness contrasts with the abstractness of the issues posed by nuclear weaponry.

Fairness: in addressing ecological challenges it is necessary to induce cooperation among grossly unequal states with respect to responsibility for the buildup of carbon emissions that is the main cause of global warming. Unlike the situation with respect to nuclear weapons there is a consensus among governments that a positive adaptation to climate change requires an unprecedented cooperation in reducing carbon emissions that will only be forthcoming if fairness prevails and the richer, earlier industrialized countries help poorer ones reduce emissions without slowing development. The late developing countries are far less benefitted than the highly developed economies of Europe and North America by industrial development that was dependent  fossil fuels and hence, the buildup of emissions than the late developing Global South.

Although this dynamic was largely innocent, it allowed Western industrialization to proceed for many decades without paying the true costs of development.  There is an abstract recognition of a vital equity component in an effective policy of ecological adaptation, but little agreement as to how to calculate the level of subsidy and the allocations of amounts to be paid and received. Also more recently developed countries are not willing to accept levels of supervision needed to ensure that the funds received as subsidies were being used to reduce carbon emissions rather than to accelerate industrial development or to enrich corrupt elites in government and the private sector.

Another dimension of the ecological challenge involves preserving tropical rainforests, currently under threat from private developers and ranchers, as in Brazil and elsewhere. These rainforests absorb large quantities of carbon and function as valuable repositories of biodiversity. Here the adaptation issue is quite different than in relation to climate change. It involves encroaching upon the territoriality of sovereign rights to safeguard the global public good. It involves respecting the wholeness of perspective while reconciling constraints with fairness. This leaves space for social conflict and political paralysis that sidetracks adaptive behavior, and increases the watchdog responsibilities of civil society.

Otherness. Identity politics, both negative and positiv at all levels of social and political consciousness stress and privilege differences and overwhelmingly viewing others with suspicion, hostility, and a sense of rivalry. Only recently has negative otherness been countered by resistance and the assertion positive claims by subjugated others. in world affairs, aligned civilizational identities confront collectivities of otherness. The ultimate expressions of hostile otherness occurs in the context of war, whether giving rise to opposing alliances internationally or to internal struggles or civil wars between adversary formations, typically challenges of social movements to existing elites controlling identity formations be the state.

Samuel Huntington at the end of the Cold War followed by the collapse of the Soviet Union predicted not a peaceful sequel, but rather a new wave of conflict in the form of ‘a clash of civilizations,’ and most specifically, of the Global West against a rising Global Islam situated in the Middle East. Huntington believed the faultlines of post-Cold War conflict would center on  securing favorable Western access to energy reserves and upholding the security of Israel against regional identities shaped by resurgent post-colonial identities that sought to exclude the West.

The historical context featured the collapse of the European colonial system which was a form of otherness that involved domination by colonial powers and unabashed subjugation of indigenous populations in the Global South. The apartheid structure of racist domination in South Africa exploiting the black African indigenous majority as the other to the white settler minority is a prime instance of the repression of the other. Ending colonizing and racist otherness has been internationally affirmed in adaptive changes in international law. This positive flow of history that liberated many peoples suffering from abusive forms of othernessvertically arranged in master/slave or white/black hierarchies of domination, but it far from cleared the agenda of negative otherness.

Negative patterns are also evident in societal contexts as exhibited by the hostile othering of deviant life styles as expressed over the centuries by such behavioral patterns as homophobia and xenophobia. Positive patterns of resistance from below are manifest in such slogan as ‘black is beautiful’ or Jews as ‘a chosen people.’

The most extreme form of negative otherness involves the total dehumanization of the other has sadly not disappeared even in the creative centers of hypter-modernity. It has been labeled and outlawed as ‘genocide’ since the Nazi Holocaust a Jew-hating slaughter that featured death camps and mass killing, even extending its lethality beyond ethnicity to gypsies and to left political activists and intellectuals.

We live now at a time where Israel has conducted a genocidal campaign against the entire population of 2.3 million Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip. It recalls a line of poetry from W.H. Auden: “Those to whom evil is done, do evil in return.” It has been proclaimed by Israeli leaders in chillingly forthright language of total dehumanization and operationalized by a daily spectacle of horrifying atrocities. It has repeatedly assaulted the eyes and  ears of the peoples of the world in real time, an educative experience made possible by the TV journalism of the digital age. Unfortunately, despite this unavoidable awareness the genocide is continuing and spreading beyond the borders of Gaza in ways that threaten regional war further magnified by global proxy participants.

The UN and the Great Powers have been either unable or unwilling to stop this genocide. Shamelessly, the liberal democracies of the Global West led by the United States along with profit making corporate have refused to exert their leverage to restrain Israel, or hold it to legally permissible action. Instead they have been complicit in direct violation of the Genocide Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of Genocide by lending active support through supplying weaponry, financial assistance, diplomatic support, and even military intelligence. Seen in from a broader civilizational perspective, the governments supportive of Israel are all from the Global West of North America and Europe, although Ireland and Spain have stood apart from the Western consensus. In contrast, the most dedicated support for the Palestinian resistance is from Islamic majority states and political movements, especially Hezbollah and the Houthis. It is a reminder that clashes of civilization and ethnicities are part of the historical present, resulting in instances of genocide in  settings other than Gaza, such as Myanmar and Sudan where the dehumanization of the other leads to genocidal politics often intertwined with and obscuring strategic ambitions relating to land and resources.

It is my contention these psychological, political and economic motivational patterns that contradict the premises of positive wholeness, fairness, and positive otherness are indicators of educational failures, reflective of non-adaptive practices, policies, and values, a situation that reinforces the argument for educational reform. I am trying to convince you that these features of our world are dangerously inhibiting adaptation to the ethical, economic, and ecological imperatives of the wellbeing of future generations. Our students deserve to learn how to have useful lives that are responsive to these concerns. There is a folk saying that imparts wisdom: “If it’s not broken don’t fix it.” But there is a secondary insight bearing on the malfunctioning of the global security system and poor capabilities to provide urgently needed stability and sustainability: “If it is badly broken, do everything possible to fix it.” I think there are many fix-it approaches worth pondering in classrooms without presupposing a sophisticated view of the complexities of the contemporary world and its challenges. Let me venture two lines of educational opportunity.

Civic Engagement. It seems clear that the current leadership of both governments and corporations are not positively oriented toward implementing wholeness, fairness, and otherness in creative and ethically meaningful ways. Governments are preoccupied with the pursuit of national interests, with governing performances judged in terms of short-term results when what is most needed is long-term policies. Psychologically important is whether the quality of economic and political life for the national citizenry was being widely regarded as improving. The dominant logic of such styles of governance is to disregard wholeness and to conceive of fairness as a matter of how the national population is being treated. Naturally distancing themselves to varying degrees from alien forms of otherness is treated as though it was a natural element of the human condition. Creative pedagogy would teach a greater appreciation of and contact with others as connected with living and acting effectively in the world.

The corporate outlook, shared with banks and mechanisms of finance, is preoccupied with the profitable manipulation of money and maximizing the growth of GNP. It is not concerned with fair distribution of wealth and income, or with facilitating the costly process of replacing a precarious framework even if its purpose is to enable a sustainable  existence. In fact, the prevailing economic logics of both capitalist and socialist orientations is to minimize interferences with profits and economic growth by being adopting various postures of denial with respect to harmful ecological dimensions of this late modernist ethos of efficiency and growth. As such the main justification for modern economic activity is associated with the embedded belief ‘that more and bigger is better,’ eventual for all. Contrary pro-capitalist mythmaking ‘all boats don’t rise,’ especially in the rough waters of competition or monopolistic markets.

The educational opportunity is to present ‘small is beautiful’ views of benevolent political and economic life. Instead of a worldview that instructs us that the world works by reference to win/lose outcome it would be helpful to investigate situations where a win/win approach is viable for all participants. Games and stories that illustrate win/win outcomes could be drawn from history. Ideas of ‘human security’ and ‘common security’ based on a cooperative view of the sort pioneered in regional communities such as European Union or in the elaborate Chinese Road and Belt Project where the rewards of cooperation and mutual benefit mitigate the one-sided patterns exploitation between winners and losers. The costly and menacing militarism of current international relations needs replacing by vastly cheaper, safer, and less destructive frameworks of peace-building and mutual tolerance.

Similar narratives can be developed to support for the Rule of Law as a replacement for the Rule of the Gun. Internationally it can be shown that respect for the constraints of international law frees resources for constructive uses in relation to the demands of fairness as well as to facilitate greater investment in ecological sustainability. If not globsl wholeness, then communities of states acting regionally, can solve common regional problems of security and sustainability and thereby provide the framing of better lives and more benevolent governance during a transition to a condition of true globality. It is almost self-evident that the US would be much better off it is had shaped its foreign policy in conformity with the constraints of international law. Existing global arrangements, including the UN, would work more effectively and much less expensively, leaving increased funds available for sustainability and better lives through a reliance on the guidelines of international law rather than, as has been the practice of Great Powers, by engaging in futile unlawful interventions and destabilizing arms races costing trillions while increasing risks of acute catastrophe. The remarkable rise of China for over the course of the last half century without relying on conquest or exploitation, despite certain deficiencies, offers a model of an extremely successful alternative path. Also instructive would be a comparative study of US and China in relation to these three signposts on a path leading to rational sustainability in the 21st century—wholeness, fairness, otherness. A comparison of the negative treatment of the poor, vulnerable, and internal others (or minorities, refugees, and immigrants victimized by informal hostility and formal discrimination).

A look at the experience of the last several decades would confirm this line of policy reform. It has not yet happened because the established order resists with all the policy instrument and brainwashing propaganda at its disposal. Special interests have been increasing their influence on the behavior of governmental institutions working day and night for higher military budgets and on behalf of profit/growth oriented policies.  This critique applies to lucrative arms producers that have a vested interest in exaggerating security threats and the dangers of diverse ideologies or energy giants keep carbon fuels flowing without concern for climate change while suppressing evidence that their activities are causing harm. 

Education does have the capacity to shape minds, transform societies, and help discover and explore pathways to a sustainable, just, peaceable, and more enjoyable future. As educators we should commit to making education a catalyst for fairness, equity, and sustainability. In the process nurturing a sense of wholeness and overcome relevant enmities toward otherness.

Citizen Engagement. As suggested, beyond skills lies a broad range of enlightening approaches to learning that can teach us to live adaptively in ways that take due account of  21st century realities. Aside from family influences on opinions and values, as well as the educational tropes of social media habits in the homes and neighborhood of students, the greatest influence resides with charismatic educators in halls of learning if sufficient academic freedom exists for teachers and students to put forward their own ideas and understandings of the unmet requirements of fairness and sustainability communally, nationally, and globally. I am unsure as to whether state propaganda and reactionary monitoring of school curricula and libraries will allow the educational sectors to play positive adaptive roles with popular and institutional encouragement in countries with great variations in state/society relations with respect to formal education. We in the United States are feeling strong pushback in academic life from ultra-right enemies of open minds both in government and well-funded reactionary enclaves in civil societies. The rise of an activist billionaire caste eager to monitor teaching and learning is marginalizing adaptive education

Ideally, education at all levels should prepare students for active societal roles as participants organizing to shape public policy, and not be passive spectators in the face of developments and challenges that threaten their future and that of future generations. Public pressures from below can potentially make political leaders, as well as mainstream media and social media platforms take account of demands for reforms carried out within a more globalist way of interpreting and understanding than what now prevails in most societies, including those that have free elections and independent political parties, but are guided by outmoded gepolitical belief and predatory forms of economic behavior.

In the past, I have argued in favor of an adaptive form of citizenship, what I have labeled as ‘citizen pilgrims,’ drawing on the tradition of pilgrims as those persons among us who are searching based on faith and belief, for a better future. Citizen pilgrims embark on a personal journey that envisages collective transformations responsive to humane values and adaptive imperatives. Can the educational systems around the world be entrusted to go beyond specialized training in useful skills to give students the kind of knowledge and ethical commitment to progressive civic responsibility as the core obligation of citizenship, superseding the minimalism of electoral politics.

Technological Innovation. From an educational perspective of both preparation for a professional career and for benign citizen engagement, it seems essential to prepare students for technological innovations on the horizon. It is obvious that AI will exert a growing influence in all phases of future life in ways that are liberating and patterns that may cause educators and society a bundle of dangerous troubles. In the educational process, the management of immediate access to knowledge that undercuts the value of writing assignments and tests poses fundamental issues that will become more complex as AI is on a trajectory of rapid and continuous improvement. Perhaps, creative educators will rely more on dialogic methods of learning that rest on placing confidence in subjective learning experiences. Robotics is also relevant from the perspective of progress and employment choices and opportunities. There is a need to evolve courses and study programs that take account of job markets and changing societal priorities, as well as the collective challenges.

What educators need to think about is how to create courses assuring that students achieve digital literacy even if they are not inclined to seek a career directly related to such transformative technologies that will strain existing societal ideas of fairness and equity. Beyond this, is the social regulation of innovative technology that endangers safety or has provocative capacities to disrupt cyber security within and among states. In other words, new technologies can also endanger social peace within societies by making many forms of work obsolete, creating labor crises. Technological innovation can also cause havoc in international relations by introducing variants of stealth and remote weaponry, of which attack drones and exploding pagers are illustrative, that can disrupt existing patterns of security. Unlike nuclear weapons, there is no way to control the proliferation of drones. More that 20 years ago, a technologist named Bill Joy wrote a provocative article entitled “Does the Future Need Us?’ In other words, is human ingenuity generating uncontrollable dangers in relation to conflict while rendering most learned skills, and hence jobs, superfluous? It seems that creative and ethical innovations to keep pace with technologies would have to become equally innovative, reinventing roles for body and mind.

Political Realism. Among the obstacles to innovative education is the unconscious consensus among societal elites of ideas and values that are resistant to the prerequisites of adaptive, fair, and sustainable present and future life experiences. These are asserted here as wholeness, fairness, and otherness. Educators might devise courses and readings that include utopian visions of a peaceful, more eqitable, worldwide coexistence of diverse peoples striving for sustainability. In the words of the World Social Forum, ‘another world is possible.’ The ambitious objective of education in this era is to give students confidence that different versions of reconfigured realism need to guide behavior at all levels of decision-making. This alone would make ‘the possible’ become ‘the attainable.’

Conclusions: As stressed, educational endeavors are challenged everywhere but under a variety of diverse conditions involving cultural norms, political structures. economic practices, and spiritual aspirations. Of course, diversities of experience exist within national and civilizational boundaries, as well as within regional and global spheres of human activity with different perceptions of appropriate responses. This will likely give rise to a bewildering variety of responses, not all in keeping with the theme of this Istanbul Educational Summit. Hopefully, some will, and that may embolden others.

Present and prospective concerns associated with excessive fragmentations of identity, technological innovation, unfair distributions of material benefits and career opportunities, non-sustainable patterns of economic development, and out of date political beliefs and practices challenge the diverse missions of education. This atmosphere encourages educational reinterpretation, dialogue, and experimentation. Benevolent pathways to the future will be more likely to be taken if more students are oriented toward the urgencies facing humanity. Silos of learning experience need to be replaced by inter-cultural dialogues and by increasing exchange opportunities for students and faculty so that the world and its problems can be experienced away from homelands.

As is so often the case, the insights of great men and women are fertile sources for those of us who have chosen to be educators at this hour of ferment.  Despite these turbulent times of relentless change, Mahatma Gandhi remains a guide for all humanity, whether viewed individually, or as a collective edict: “Learn as if you will live forever; live as if you will die tomorrow.” [as borrowed from Bishnu Patel ]                                                                     

The ICC Issues Arrest Warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant: Winning the Legitimacy War

24 Nov

Richard Falk

The ICC delayed the formal issuance of ‘arrest warrants’ for top Israeli

political leaders directing the genocidal assault on Gaza for six months although

it responded affirmatively to a comparable request involving Putin’s alleged criminality in

Ukraine in less than a month after the Russian attack.

Double standards to be sure, yet ICC action is a welcome alternative to either denying the Chief Prosecutor’s recommendation of May 20 or delaying indefinitely to its decision on whether the arrest warrants should be issued. The ruling of ICC Pre-Trial Chamber 1 to issue arrest warrants for the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, and the Minister of Defense, Yoav Gallant, in view of the overwhelming evidence of their responsibility for severe international crimes comes as big news. It is a mighty symbolic blow against geopolitical impunity and in favor of accountability.

If this ICC action is assessed by its ability to sway Israel’s short-term behavior in directions more in accord with international law, as well as to the majority views prevalent in the UN, the Global South, and world public opinion this ICC decision the cynical dismissal of Sub-Changer as ‘an empty gesture.’  Some argue that the tangible impact of arrest warrants, if any, will be to alter Netanyahu’s and Gallant’s future travel plans slightly. The decision obliges the 124 member states of the ICC to carry out arrests of these individuals should they be so bold as to venture onto their territory. Non-parties, including the US, Russia, China, Israel and others are not subject to this enforcement obligation. We should remember that Palestine is a party to the ICC treaty and thus if either Netanyahu or Gallant were to set foot in the Occupied Palestinian Territories of Gaza, West Bank, and East Jerusalem the governmental authority in Ramallah would be legally obliged to make arrests. Yet it would test the bravery of the Palestinian Authority far beyond its past behavior if it dared arrest an Israeli leader, however clear the obligation and no matter how strong the evidence against him. This assessment of tangible effect misses the point of why this is an historically significant development both for the Palestinian struggle and the credibility of the ICC.

Before putting forth an argument as to why this ICC move is a historic step, it seems responsible to acknowledge several important limitations:

                  –First and foremost, although the Prosecutor’s recommendation to the Sub-Chamber of the ICC was made in May (or eight months after Oct. 8th), it did not include even a mention of ‘genocide’ among the crimes attributed to these two leaders, which is of course the core criminality of the Israeli onslaught, as well as expressive of their role in the enactment of this ultimate international crime;

                  –Another notable limitation is the long ICC delay between recommending the arrest warrants and Sub-Chamber ruling. This was substantively inexcusable in view of the dire emergency conditions of devastation, famine, and suffering existing in Gaza during this interval, and aggravated by Israel’s obstruction of humanitarian assistance provided by UNRWA and other international aid and humanitarian organization to the Gazan civilian population in desperate need of food, fuel, electricity, potable water, medical supplies, and health workers.

                  –Also, the ICC decision remains subject to jurisdictional challenge once the arrest order has been finalized. The Nov 20 acceptance of jurisdiction is in a formal sense provisional as Israel’s objection to ICC jurisdictional authority was made prematurely, but can be made without prejudice despite its denial in the future now that the ICC has acted.

                  –Even in the highly unlikely event that arrests will be made, it is improbable that detention could be implemented, given the US Congressional legislation authorizing the use of force to liberate detainees from ICC captivity if US nationals or the accused as here are nationals of allies. There have been already intimations that some members of the US Senate and House will seek sanctions against the persons of the Chief Prosecutor, Karim Kahn, and the members of the ICC Pre-Trial Chamber. Such initiatives if actualized will further weaken the US reputation as supporter of the Rule of Law in international affairs.

Despite these formidable limitations, this invocation of the procedural authority of the ICC is itself a grim reminder to the world that accountability for international crimes should pertain to all governments and that the evidence against these two Israeli leaders has been assessed by objective and professionally qualified experts under the auspices of an international institution that is empowered by a widely ratified treaty to make a determination on the legal appropriateness of making such a controversial decision.

The ICC like the ICJ has no independent enforcement capability other than compliance by member states, but because the ICC is not part of the UN it at least are rendered, unlike the ICJ without being subject for enforcement to a right of veto that has paralyzed the UN Security Council throughout this period of Gaza violence. This does not mean that implementation will follow or that prosecution will go forward much less that future findings of guilt will be respected, in the event that they occur, as the older more venerable ICJ has found out to its dismay since its establishment in 1945. But both the ICC and ICJ in their judicial proceeding are formally free from ‘the primacy of geopolitics’ that so often overrides the relevance of international law or the UN Charter in other non-judicial venues.

An outcome of the sort that the ICC reached regarding the arrest warrants is a direct and authoritative application of international law, and in that sense produces no counter-arguments but it is subject to crude denunciations. Netanyahu calls the ICC ruling ‘absurd’ and a manifestation of antisemitism, while the American lame duck president, Joe Biden, has called the issuance of these arrest warrants as ‘outrageous’ but never tells the world why. This kind of verbal Israeli lashing of the ICC has in the past been directed at the UN itself in response to criticism of its policies in the Occupied Palestinian Territories.

The lasting and redeeming significance of the issuance of the arrest warrants is to help Palestine win the ‘legitimacy war’ being waged to control the high ground of law, morality, and public discourse. Political realists that continue to dominate foreign policy elites in important states dismiss international law and normative considerations in global security and geopolitically inflamed settings as a misleading distraction to interactions that are best guided, and in any event will be determined by the interplay of military force.

Such thinking overlooks the reverse experience of all anti-colonial wars in the prior century that were won by the weaker side militarily. The US should have learned this lesson in the Vietnam War in which it dominated air, sea, and land battlefields and yet lost the war. The weaker side militarily prevailed, that is, it prevailed in the legitimacy war, which more often than not has controlled the political outcomes since 1945 in internal conflicts waged around issues of national and ideological identity of sovereign states.  These outcomes reflect the decline in the historical agency of militarism even in the face of many seemingly breakthrough technological innovations in warfare on the part of aggressor states.

For this reason, yet mainly without this line of analysis, more and more close observers have come to the surprising conclusion that Israel has already lost the war, and in the process endangered its future security and prosperity, and possibly even its existence. In the end Palestinian resistance may achieve victory despite paying an unspeakable price exacted by such a horrifying genocidal assault. If this outcome comes to pass, one of the international factors that will be given attention is this ICC Sub-Chamber unanimous decision to issue arrest warrants against Netanyahu and Gallant. In this defining sense the frustrations with implementation of these arrest warrants are not the end of the story, but

are part of a larger historically unfolding narrative of ‘hope against hope.’ ##

.

My 94th Birthday amid rubble and precious life

15 Nov

[Prefatory Note: my poem on navigating the narrowing channel

Between personal happiness and public gloom.]

My 94th Birthday amid rubble and precious life

1.Demons Prowling

For these last years I felt

It was strange to be still alive

When so many around me were dead

Stranger still to stay young within

To receive and give love

While the planet burns

And untamed demons prowl

Plunging the world into total darkness

It seems even

The night sky shares the gloom of earth

Even the stars retreat as if on strike

Against demon stalkers of the night

Prowling about their mansions of deceit

Trampling upon their manicured gardens

Hatefully howling in the darkness

Until the only safe comfort zones

Were hidden distant in  the galaxy

                       II. Precious Living

Yet despite the carnage

Roses bloom guarded by thorns

Gardenias retain their addictive aroma

A glorious bestowal of nature’s blessings

And yet we complain that it is not enough

Indulging our pure greed always wanting more

Yet our private and inner life eludes the grasp

Of beasts of prey and demons of the night

The joys of loving and being loved never age

Rather grow old together gathering wisdom

Year by year accepting and affirming what remains

What is lost as long as your love and presence

Resists abandonment, partners to the end

As long as the radiance of love infuses our lives

As long as the lives and legacies of our children

As long as this sturdy light of my life stays bright 

Bringing tears of delight of love’s deepest roots

Through time and emotional memories

Good and bad playful ironic serious

That long we know we are still alive

To what always matters most up close    

                       III. Jackal Dominion

Always darkness and light merge

At dawn and dusk never diverge

Almost as certain as death itself

Birds and cats know more than we

About the movements of earth and sky

Those blessed companions, therapists

Of the soul, minions of the heart

Until now spared from vengeful jackals

In control now our public destiny

Each day the shrouded bodies of babies

Subverts our sacred longing for serenity

With shrieks of horror by those left alive

While those others the jackals

Dare speak to us with gruesome clarity

Of unabashed evil means and ends

Yet they are there and we are here

For us living fearfully at a distance

Nothing worse is yet happening to me

Than nightly disturbances of sleep

But tomorrow a servant of the jackals

May knock hard on our door bringing

The news that that there is no more there

                    IV. Cry Freedom!

When slaves break their chains

And patriots of the earth become

Warriors gardeners poets engaging

In a fight worth winning for the sake

Of those we love and learn from

So long as the trusted soul breathes its light

While the body is busy with the work of dying

Life remains a precious gift of the god

Richard Falk

Santa Barbara, California

November 13, 2024

What Can Iran & Palestine Expect from the US Presidential Elections?

23 Oct

[Prefatory Note: The following interview is in responses to questions addressed.to me by Kayhan New Agency in Iran. It is focused on an interpretation of how the forthcoming American elections are likely to affect Iran, and the policies toward the current  combat zone involving Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon. X/0]

Kayhan Interview.   10/9/24

1-What impact does the U.S. election have on the Middle East (Israel-Palestine-Iran)?

Unless Trump is elected, which seems now shamelessly plausible, I see no prospect of change. If Trump is elected, he is more likely to encourage Israel to escalate tensions with Iran by way of an all-out military attack on Gaza and Iran, encouraging the use of a 30k blockbuster bomb and even a missile with a nuclear warhead directed at Iran’s nuclear facilities.

There are also dangers of such a scenario unfolding if Harris are elected, but somewhat less so. It could be brought about by the Netanyahu government exerting provocative pressures by way of alleged intelligence reports that Iran poses an existential threat to Israeli security and currently possesses nuclear weapons or is close to crossing that red line.

It may be that Iran’s conduct in the aftermath of the elections held on 5 November will have some effect in either calming or. agitating bellicose impulses. If the new President of Iran makes a determined diplomatic effort in the region, possibly centered on cultivating positive relations with Turkey, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia, it could alter Israel’s calculations, but nothing is certain and nothing should be taken for granted or assumed. 

2-The effects of current events in the Middle East on the American elections?

Recent developments in the Middle East, especially the Gaza genocide and the expansion of the Gaza combat zone to the West Bank in Israel and to neighboring countries including Lebanon, Iran, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen are having very little impact on the American election, except for the Muslim-American minority and a small group of progressive individuals, including especially younger Jews. However, this numerically small

number compared to the size of the national voting public it could have an impact greater than one would expect because of its influence in battleground states. This reflects the concentration of Muslim-Americans is parts of the country where the electoral competition is very close, and the failure of these normally pro-Democratic voters to support Harris are strengthening Republican prospects, and hence heightening prospects for a Trump victory. The American electoral system is such that the winner is not chosen by the candidate with the most votes, but by a complex weighted system that gives each state, based on population a certain number of votes, which are so allocated as to give advantages to rural and small states where Trump is most popular.

3-Why student protests have been silenced in America and we dont see any protests in universities?

These protests have not yet been completely ‘silenced’ but certainly have been the targets of pressure from administrators of higher education and the Zionist, pro-Israeli, networks of influence.

Major donors to universities throughout the country with strong Israeli sympathies and ties have exerted their influence, usually hidden from public view. Israeli influence with American political elites is strong within the government and strong private sector lobbies (including military industries, energy). Students and faculty are intimidated, with pro-Palestinian activism leading to negative impacts on their career prospects. At the same time these protest sentiments remain strong among the more educated youth of America, although apparently dormant in the immediate period ahead. It would not be a surprise if a progressive movement outside the two-party system emerges in the near future, and becomes a real force in American political life.

4-Western countries state that the attack by Hamas on October 7 was a violation of human rights laws; Do you think the behavior of the Palestinians was a violation of the law?

Even after a year it remains difficult to have an accurate description of the events on October 7. There needs to be a trustworthy international investigation and report, although this will be opposed by Israel, and without such clarification it will be difficult to make a reliable assessment.

On the basis of what we know or are tole, it is the judgment of the most objective international law experts that Hamas had a right of resistance against an abusive and unlawful occupation of Gaza that had persisted since it was occupied in course of the 1967 War, but that atrocities committed during the attack should be considered legally prohibited, and the perpetrators held accountable. The Prosecutor of the International Criminal Court recommended to a Sub-Chamber of the ICC that ‘arrest warrants’ be issued for three Hamas leaders on the basis of this legal reasoning, and also for Israeli leaders on a similar basis in the course of their retaliatory onslaught.

My own view accepts the obligation of claimants of a right of resistance, regardless of how strong their entitlement to resist, to comply with the laws of war and international human rights law with respect to the deliberate killing of women and children. Hamas culpability this regard is minor if compared to the magnitude and severity of Israel’s genocidal response, but still criminal.

The division in the world between Palestinian and Israeli supportive governments and political movements exhibits the civilizational dimension of Middle East conflict zone that follows a conflict pattern of the West against Islamic societies. This recalls Samuel Huntington’s 1993 prediction that after the Cold War that there would not be peace, but ‘a clash of civilizations’ situated along the fault lines separating the West from various geographies of the Islamic non-West.  

5-What is your opinion about Iran’s attack on Israel and was it Iran’s right to attack Israel?

I am not familiar with the scale, targeting, damage, and details, but Israel had repeatedly provocatively attacked Iran previously without being itself attacked first, recently most strikingly by its assassination of the Hamas leader, Issmail Haniyeh, while he was visiting Iran to attend the inauguration of Massoud Pezeshkian as the new president. Iran certainly had a reprisal right, although the law of the Charter creates some ambiguity limiting international uses of forces to situation of self-defense against a prior armed attack (see UN Charter, Article 2(4), 51). Yet since many countries have claimed such a retaliatory right of reprisal it seems persuasive to argue that the Charter has been superseded by international practice, and the applicable tests of legality are related to such customary norms as proportionality, discrimination (as to targeting), and humanity (as to civilian innocence).

6-Why, despite the widespread protests in the United States? However, the United States still provides massive financial and military aid to Israel?

On the Middle East agenda, the US government is not being responsive to the people. The latter favor by a sizable majority a permanent ceasefire and a more balanced overall US approach to Israel and Palestine. Yet, the special interests associated with military sales and the policy goals of pro-Israeli lobbying organizations, especially AIPAC, are being accommodated by political elites in the US, and in most European countries.

The US situation is one where the pro-Israeli influence on politics is not balanced by pro-Palestinian influence in the venues of governmental authority (Congress, Presidency), which means that politicians have nothing to gain, and much to lose, if they are sympathetic to Palestinian grievances. Israel has effectively manipulated Diaspora Jews to make strong unconditional commitments to Israel financially and politically. Finally, the Holocaust and antisemitism continue to be deployed to punish those who go out of line by supporting Palestine or Iran.

7-What do you think about Iran’s behavior in supporting Palestine and Lebanon?

If you have any comments or suggestions. opinion, please write to us

I think such support as Iran has given, which is not known with any precision, is far less than what Israel and its Arab friends have received, and is thus legitimate as a reasonable

balancing involvement. Beyond this, by supporting Lebanon and the Palestinian struggle Iran is on the right side of history and of morality, while the US and the former coloniall powers of Europe are supporting the prime instance of 21st Century ‘settler colonialism’ and it genocidal disposition of the majority native population.

Empowering the UN, Disempowering Militarist Geopolitics

22 Oct

[Prefatory Note: I post a review of the recently published Liberating the United Nations: Realism with Hope appearing in Foreign Affairs, the most influential journal for mainstream foreign policy analysia. The book was written by Hans von Sponeck, former Assistant Secretary General of the UN, and myself, and published by Stanford University Press a few weeks ago. The title given to this generally positive review essay of our book is deeply misleading. It not a matter of ‘saving the UN’ but of empowering the UN to fulfill its originall missions of war prevention and global security, and overcoming those aspects of its identity that gave instututional hegemony to the winners of World War II; thus we would entitle a review ‘Can Humanity be Saved Through the UN’?]

]


Can the United Nations Be Saved? | Foreign Affairs

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Review Essay

Can the United Nations Be Saved?

The Case for Getting Back to Basics

By Thant Myint-U

November/December 2024Published on Sign in and save to read laterPrint this articleSend by emailShare on TwitterShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInGet a linkPage urlRequest Reprint Permissions

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The quest to fix the United Nations is almost as old as the organization itself. Eighty years ago, Allied leaders imagined a postwar order in which the great powers would together safeguard a permanent peace. The Security Council, dominated by its five veto-wielding members—the United States, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, France, and China—reflected the world as it was. Other, less hierarchical parts of the new UN system were meant to foster international cooperation across a host of issues: the global economy, public health, agriculture, education. The seeds of a future planetary government were evident from the start.

The UN was initially conceived as a military alliance, but that objective became impossible with the onset of the Cold War. Many observers predicted an early death for the UN. But the organization survived and was soon reenergized, fashioning aims that its founders never imagined, such as peacekeeping. Its secretary-general became a figure on the global stage as the world’s preeminent diplomat, jetting off to war zones to negotiate cease-fires. Specialized agencies under the UN, such as its Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), and a raft of new technical assistance programs spread their wings. For some officials, scholars, and activists both within and outside the UN, a hopeful vision of global government persisted.

The American legal scholar Richard Falk and the former German diplomat Hans von Sponeck are clearly in the camp of those who would like to see a far stronger UN. In Liberating the United Nations, they make the case for an organization that can deal effectively with the slew of challenges facing the world today, from climate change to nuclear proliferation. They see no alternative. At the same time, they bemoan the UN’s current dysfunctional state and its increasing marginalization from the major issues of the day. The global body, they say, “is more needed than ever before and yet less relevant as a political actor than at any time since its establishment in 1945.”

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The authors provide a detailed overview of the UN’s complex structures and multifaceted undertakings and make a spirited attempt to convince readers that a renewed investment in the organization is the best possible path to a better future. They offer a worthy vision of an ideal global body, imagining, for example, a reformed Security Council linked with civil society organizations from around the world. Their prescriptions, however, do not fully account for challenges to the UN’s legitimacy and standing. Given today’s realities, those who believe in the enduring importance of the UN should not seek to make the institution all things to all people but should instead adopt a laser-like focus on strengthening the organization’s most fundamental function: preventing war.

THE GOOD OLD DAYS

In Falk and von Sponeck’s telling, the UN has demonstrated considerable innovation, even during the Cold War, despite the constraints of that era’s superpower rivalry. This was especially true under Dag Hammarskjold, who served as secretary-general from 1953 until his death, in 1961, and pioneered new forms of preventive diplomacy. The speedy deployment of blue-helmeted UN peacekeepers during the Suez crisis in 1956 was a prime example of this early creativity.

By the 1990s, with the Cold War over and Moscow’s veto no longer a hindrance to American primacy, the UN expanded its peacekeeping operations, which proved successful in places as far from the seats of power as El Salvador and East Timor. The organization also became an intellectual leader—it crafted, for example, the notion of human development as a counterbalance to the simple metric of per capita GDP.

For Falk and von Sponeck, this was also a period of lost opportunity, as the United States focused its energies on consolidating a new international regime favorable to global capitalism rather than on building the foundation of a UN-centered world government. A series of peacekeeping failures, from Bosnia to Rwanda, colored the lead-up to the turn of the century, by which time the world’s post–Cold War enthusiasm for the UN had largely dissipated. The American invasion of Iraq without UN authorization marked a new low point for the organization, demonstrating its impotence in the wake of great-power aggression. Today, Falk and von Sponeck say, in the face of a “dysfunctional ultra-nationalist backlash,” the organization is hobbled even more and has little political support for much-needed amendments to the UN Charter, such as reforming the composition of the Security Council.

The quest to fix the United Nations is almost as old as the organization itself.

There are problems with the book’s history. For example, the authors mistakenly describe the crisis in the Republic of the Congo, which drew in the UN in 1960, as being caused principally by “tribal conflicts and ethnic regionalism,” when it was very much about attempts by white supremacists to maintain their dominance over Congo—in particular, its vast mineral riches—after the country won independence from Belgium. The authors are also mistaken in suggesting that Hammarskjold supported what they oddly describe as Congolese Prime Minister Patrice Lumumba’s “radical economic nationalism.” The two men were famously at odds, and at least a few of Hammarskjold’s aides, if not the secretary-general himself, were complicit in Lumumba’s overthrow in 1960.

Far more important, however, is what’s missing from the authors’ account. For nearly all the peoples of Africa and Asia, the history of the twentieth century was first and foremost a history of empire and their long fights for freedom. Over the late 1950s and early 1960s, representatives from newly independent nations—the “Afro-Asians,” as they called themselves—transformed the UN, bringing it to the height of its ambition and vigor. The UN was the mechanism through which they asserted their hard-won independence and shaped and protected their sovereignty. For them, Congo was a test of whether white supremacy would be a mainstay of the postcolonial world.

Falk and von Sponeck correctly mention the critical role played by the UN from its very beginning in the struggle against racism globally and against the apartheid regime in South Africa in particular. But they are incorrect in suggesting that non-Western governments were more interested in the development of a fairer world economy than in the prevention of war. For the Afro-Asians, peace, development, and the realization of human rights were interdependent parts of a bigger project of equality after empire.

The Afro-Asians embraced the UN. In 1961, they were instrumental in the appointment of one of their own to secretary-general: the Burmese diplomat U Thant (my grandfather). In 1962, Thant, working closely with other Afro-Asian leaders, played a pivotal role (which is lost in most narratives) in the de-escalation of the Cuban missile crisis. His mediation efforts between U.S. President John F. Kennedy, Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev, and the Cuban revolutionary Fidel Castro marked the apex of the organization’s work in war prevention. While the Security Council was often deadlocked, the secretary-general and his team of mediators were more active than ever across a variety of conflicts, from Cyprus and India to Pakistan and Vietnam. The UN’s record of peacemaking endeavors, which were intimately linked to the ascendancy of what was then called the “Third World” majority, is absent from the book.

REFORM AND REALITY

Liberating the United Nations includes a deep dive into the authors’ own experiences in the organization. Falk, for many decades a professor of international law at Princeton University, was in the early 2010s the UN’s special rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967. Von Sponeck, a career international public servant, was the UN’s humanitarian coordinator in Iraq in the late 1990s; he resigned in protest over the harm that sanctions did to Iraqi civilians. Both demonstrate the many ways in which their efforts were thwarted by geopolitics—that is, the interests of the United States and other powerful governments. Behind their accounts is the central tension in the book: on the one hand, the authors’ desire to see the UN become a kind of global government and, on the other, the political currents frustrating this aim.

Falk and von Sponeck are “puzzled” by the inability of the UN to “gain the political traction needed” to make itself the effective tool for peace that they believe it can be. They contend that over the decades, despite herculean obstacles, the UN has proved itself an “indispensable feature of a sustainable and positive world order.” With more funding, “as well as greater forbearance by geopolitical actors and more appreciation by member governments, civil societies, and the media,” the world body could again scale new heights.

The obstacle, as they see it, is an “outmoded form of ‘political realism’” that “will require an ideological struggle” to overcome. Governments are trapped in their own geopolitical calculations and do not appreciate that the only answer to today’s global challenges is a reformed UN at the heart of vigorous global cooperation. For this to happen, they call for a “progressive transnational movement of peoples,” one “strong enough to exert a benevolent influence on governmental and international institutional practices.” Only with this kind of groundswell will the UN be able to address “such basic structural problems as predatory capitalism, global militarism, and ecological unsustainability.”

The authors are certainly right that the UN has not only survived but succeeded in a number of sectors and settings. It has produced a body of international law unprecedented in history. Its humanitarian agencies would be difficult to replace. In the event of another pandemic, only the World Health Organization, for all its flaws, could coordinate a truly global response.

With more funding, the UN could again scale new heights.

Falk and von Sponeck place front and center the need to update the composition of a Security Council that is still locked in a World War II–era constellation. There are few, if any, good arguments for denying countries such as India a position at least on par with that of the United Kingdom or for denying non-Western states greater representation more generally. In recent decades, the story of the Security Council has been of a body dominated by five rich countries deliberating conflicts in low-income countries. The unrepresentative composition of the five permanent members leads to a host of inequities, such as the biased appointments of senior officials, that run through the UN system. It is easy to see why enthusiasm for the UN in much of the world has steadily declined.

But any effort to fix the UN today will run against immense political headwinds. It’s nearly impossible to imagine a package of changes to the Security Council’s membership that could win support among its current permanent members. It’s also unclear that any change to the composition of the Security Council, however salutary to the UN’s legitimacy, would improve the organization’s effectiveness. The only result may be new kinds of deadlock (albeit with perhaps more interesting debates).

There’s also a more basic challenge: the plethora of alternative avenues for governments to pursue their interests, including bilateral agreements; regional organizations, such as NATO; and forums, such as the G-20. The UN’s headquarters, in New York, was once the only place in the world where representatives of many countries could meet. There were few other summits. Over the late 1950s and early 1960s, the annual General Assembly meetings stood at the very center of global politics, with everyone from Kennedyto Khrushchev to anticolonial revolutionaries, among them Ghanaian President Kwame Nkrumah and Egyptian President Gamal Abdel Nasser, all playing their larger-than-life roles in a dramatic theater that gripped the planet.

Falk and von Sponeck conclude that U.S. unilateralism is what has been constraining the UN, with Washington unwilling to invest in the organization’s renewal. But surely, it is not only the United States that seeks to act outside the UN. For smaller states, the UN may be the one arena where they have an equal seat at the table. But for others, such as the rising middle powers of the world, there’s an ever-increasing menu of options.

MISSION: POSSIBLE

There’s a deeper challenge still: the nature of the UN itself. Over the decades, the UN has developed its own culture, language, and ways of working—invaluable products of the only attempt ever to build an institution that involves all humanity. But it has long been addicted to process over outcome. The organization’s built-in need to reflect everyone’s views, in every paragraph of every text—in a staff circular as in a General Assembly resolution—too often strips away meaning and value from even its best-intentioned efforts.

The manner in which the UN manages its people is another vexing issue. The organization includes legions of public servants, including aid workers and peacekeepers, who are dedicated to its lofty principles and perform heroically, often under the most trying circumstances. But few of them have benefited from good management. The most capable are rarely recognized for their skill and sacrifice. Governments, especially the great powers, insist on their own (often unqualified) nominees for the top jobs, creating a perversion at the heart of the system that undermines morale, as well as efficiency. An effective UN needs at its core a highly motivated civil service staffed by the most qualified women and men from around the world. It’s an area of reform that receives almost no attention.

The default scenario is one in which an unreformed or slightly reformed UN continues evolving a smorgasbord of functions—protecting refugees, facilitating climate change negotiations, providing development assistance—doing well in some areas and less so in others. Its conferences, even if they do not necessarily solve global problems, keep alive dialogue on global issues, at times providing a platform for an array of international civil society organizations. The trouble with this status quo scenario is that by spreading itself thin, the organization is distracting itself from its main purpose of preventing war.

For the foreseeable future, the Security Council, the main body responsible for international peace and security, will likely remain unable to address the primary threats of the day, among them the Russian invasion of Ukraine, conflicts in the Middle East, and disputes over Taiwan and territories in the South China Sea. Superpower tensions within the Security Council are nothing new—but they need not stand in the way of preventive diplomacy and mediation. Hammarskjold and Thant’s most important peacemaking achievements took place during the Cold War, in the late 1950s and early 1960s. In the late 1980s, the quiet mediation of Secretary-General Javier Pérez de Cuéllar made possible several peace agreements that set the stage for the end of the Cold War itself.

By spreading itself thin, the UN is distracting itself from its main purpose of preventing war.

In the absence of a dynamic, reformed Security Council, the key to future UN success is the secretary-general’s role as the world’s preeminent diplomat. Peace is the primary business of the UN. There are many conflicts that may well be resolved without any UN role. But the past 80 years demonstrate that the secretary-general, an impartial mediator representing a universal body, is at times indispensable. One who is sidelined on the issues of war and peace will have far less influence with which to lead on global challenges such as climate change and development.

The public expects the UN to head efforts to end war. Today, terrible new wars are destroying the lives of millions and raising the threat of nuclear confrontation. It’s a very different time than the 1990s, when all the great powers were content to dispatch peacekeeping operations to end internal conflicts. The world has returned to a period of warfare between states, exactly what the UN was set up to prevent.

Because there is little oxygen for reforming the UN, whatever oxygen exists needs to be deployed efficiently to restore and broaden the secretary-general’s peacemaking role, which can address not only internal conflicts but interstate wars, as well. This will require building a team of experienced in-house mediators who have an intimate knowledge of what the organization can and cannot do. In the past, the UN achieved considerable success through the leadership of officials such as the Nobel laureate Ralph Bunche, who served both Hammarskjold and Thant and was instrumental in dozens of peace efforts around the world.

In this dangerous and uncertain moment, the secretary-general of the United Nations can explore and create opportunities for conflict resolution. Only the UN has the authority and credibility to play this role. And over the coming years, it may make all the difference between global war and peace.

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In This Review

Liberating The United Nations: Realism with Hope

Liberating The United Nations: Realism with Hope

By Richard A. Falk and Hans von Sponeck

Stanford University Press, 2024, 430 pp.Buy the book 

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How the World Lost Faith in the UNRegaining It Will Require Accepting a Diminished Role for an Age of CompetitionRichard GowanPeacekeepers Need PeacemakersWhat the UN and Its Members Owe the Blue HelmetsJean-Pierre Lacroix

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What is Israel Doing in Lebanon? War with Iran? Expansionism? Deterrence by State Terror? Netanyahu’s CV

16 Oct

[Prefatory Note: This post is based on my responses to questions put by a Brazilian journalist working for CORREIO BRAZILIENSE, Rodrigo Craveiro, on October 16, 2024. The focus is on the regional spillover of violence as linked the Gaza Genocide, which itself is still ongoing after more than a year, arousing concerns from internationally reliable sources of starvation and disease prompting adverse reaction from Israel’s supporters. Major states in Europe are threatening Israel with an arms embargo if does not accept a ceasefire, while the US warms Israel that it will cease supplying Israel with weapons if does not facilitate an increase in the delivery of humanitarian assistance to Gaza within the next 30 days.]

1– Today US warned Israel to take urgent steps to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza within the next 30 days or face losing access to US weapons funding. How do you see that?

From the perspectives of international law, human rights, and the UN such a US move comes far too late, yet from a political perspective of ending the violence in Gaza and the expansion of the combat zone beyond Gaza a cutoff of US weapons support would be a small step in the welcome direction of peacemaking.

It is worrisome that the Gaza warning is framed in terms of the humanitarian catastrophe that continues to befall the Palestinian civilian population in Gaza without mention of a ceasefire or the spillover Israeli violence in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Iran.

And why a 30 day grace period, and not immediately in view of emergency realities in Gaza that threaten increasing famine and disease, concerns that have received confirmation in recent days from reliable and respected international expert sources.

From experience over the past year, it is too early to tell even whether the US warning to Israel will be implemented. The US Government has warned Israel in the past, most recently in relation to avoid attacking Rafah with its large number of sheltering Palestinians. Israel ignored the warning and nothing was done by Washington to withdraw US support.

Finally, improving the humanitarian situation is vague, and can be satisfied by vague and often unverified and contested self-serving assessments as with disruptions during an agreed pause in the violence to allow delivery of polio vaccines to Palestinians in Gaza.

2– Netanyahu said today Israel owes its existence to victory in the 1948 Arab-Israeli war and not to the approval of its creation by the UN. What do you think about it?

Israel has always been guided by a realist belief that national security is a reflection of military hard power rather than be earning a law-abiding reputation. In that sense, Netanyahu is merely declaring what has been obvious at every stage of Israel’s existence and even during the pre-state period of the Zionist Movement.  Only a fool in 2024 would deny that Israel puts its trust in weaponry rather than in legality or morality. By setting military approaches to security against legitimation by the UN as a distinct choice, Netanyahu and leaders before him, have consistently avoided a stance in which Israel’s leaders would contend that both their battlefield success and the UN acceptance as a legitimate state were instrumental is establishing Israel as a state back in 1948, a date long prior to finding an appropriate solution for Palestinian grievances and just aspirations, a great, rarely acknowledged UN failing.

In the recent year or so, Netanyahu along with other Israeli leaders and Western supporting governments have joined in defaming the UN as biased against Israel, even institutionally antisemitic. This is manifested in many ways, but none resented by Israel more than the alleged holding of Israel to standards higher than applicable in the treatment of all other UN members.

Critics of Israel’s approach to security and conflict resolution approach believe the opposite is true, that even at the UN Israel has been able to hide its crimes and expansionism behind thick clouds of obfuscation and geopolitical protection. Palestinians  have a far stronger case against the UN due to its imposition back in 1947 of a partition of their country to achieve a two-state outcome without ever consulting the wishes of the resident majority Arab population, and then failing to secure Palestinian rights in the land allocated for their state, the extent of which was further diminished by Israeli military expansion. The UN has let the Palestinian people suffer despite their acceptance of responsibility as the successor to the British Mandate.  

3– Hezbollah threatened today to  carry out attacks in “all” Israel. Why do you think Israel is facing difficulties to defeat Hezbollah?

It is difficult to speculate on the motivations of Hezbollah, and hence their evident determination to withstand the Gaza-like onslaught that Israel threatened and is now enacting. It may be partly tied to the Israeli assassination of their longtime leader, Hassan Nasrallah, or to a sense of a sacred struggle in the spirit of jihad or to a collective Islamic response to Israel’s recourse to genocide. The support for Israel among the liberal democracies of the Global West is a somewhat analogous collective civilizational stance, although not portrayed as such, especially in the US. On neither side of this most destructive and dangerous encounter since the Cold War can behavior be explained by reference to traditional national interests alone.

Ever since the anti-colonial struggles for self-determination and against Western encroachment have been won by the militarily far weaker side, the realist equation of military superiority leading to political victory has lost its analytic power and explanatory force of how history evolves and  is made. In light of this development, it should be no surprise that Israel has not managed to defeat Hezbollah as yet despite mounting a series of punishing assaults on its Lebanon base area. As the Gaza post-October 7 experience illustrates, the only way to overcome the commitment of a victimized people struggling for a liberating freedom is by engaging in genocidal operations comparable to how the various Western settler colonialist projects dealt with the resistance of native peoples.

Israel’s Bloody Endgame

4 Oct

[Prefatory Note: This post was initially published on the TRT World website on September 30th, having been edited by Shabrina Khatri. It hasbeen modified to take account of subsequent developments in the region including the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah in Beirut and a widening onslaught against Hezbollah, while tensions mount with Iran. These developments have also affected the US relation to the conflict.]

Netanyahu’s bloody endgame seeks a future Israel with a Minimum   Palestinian Presence

In the face of mounting global criticism, Israel is stepping up its military offensive in Lebanon, continuing its genocidal violence against the Palestinians and even intensifying its attacks on the Houthis in Yemen.

AFP

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu holds maps as he speaks during the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations headquarters in New York City on September 27, 2024. that erase all traces of a Palestinian claim to statehood and the exercise of their right of self-determination.

Israel in the year since the Hamas-led attacks on October 7 has insisted that it is motivated only by anti-terrorist goals in its original pledge to exterminate Hamas, and more recently expanded by the commitment to destroy Hezbollah as a credible adversary, and in the process weaken its most feared adversary, Iran. Its evident incidental purpose has been to cast Hamas, Hezbollah, and Yemen’s Houthis as proxies for arch-enemy Iran, which stands accused of being the main enabler of “anti-Israeli terrorism” in the Middle East, a coalition of militias and political groups in the Middle East, most on Western lists of terrorist organization, and alleged linked to Iran, and less so Syria, as a so-called ‘axis of resistance.’

Casting new dark clouds over the observance of the grim anniversary of October 7, is the Gaza-like onslaught carried out by Israel in recent months against alleged Hezbollah targets in southern Lebanon, and extending to the Hezbollah controlled neighborhoods of south Beirut.

This latest phase of Israeli hyper-violence culminated in the deadly pager/radio attacks followed days later by the assassination of Hezbollah’s longtime leader, Hassan Nasrallah on September 27. And this was one year after the United Nations Secretary General spoke of the world “as becoming unhinged as geopolitical tensions rise.”

Amid this preoccupation with daily reports of atrocities and severe, massive civilian suffering, a question is recently being posed in reaction to the prolonged excessiveness of Israeli violence coupled with its stubborn refusal to accept the near universal call at the UN and elsewhere for a Gaza ceasefire tied to a hostage/prisoner swap deal: What is Israel’s strategic objective that is worth this much sacrifice in its global reputation as a dynamic and legitimate, if controversial, state?

And lurking behind this unnerving question is a related anxious query: does Israel have an endgame that might vindicate, at least in its eyes, this self-sacrifice along with its sullen acceptance of the criminal stigma of credible allegations of apartheid and genocide, as well as the laundry list of crimes against humanity and its crude defamation of the United Nations?

Netanyahu’s endgame

Last week, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appeared in New York to delivered an angry, arrogant speech before a UN General Assembly. Netanyahu managed to blend bitterness toward Israel’s UN critics with an Israeli vision of peace that seemed better treated as a delusional Israel victory speech.

In a diversionary attack, Netanyahu began his remarks by referring to the UN as “a swamp of anti-Semitic bile,” a racist filter through which any allegation against Israel, however perverse, could gain “an automatic majority” against what he pointed out was the world’s only Jewish-majority state “in this flat-earth society” that is the UN. An allegation that seemed to imply that Israel could do no wrong internationally, and if any serious charges were mounted against Israel, no matter how well evidenced, they would be dismissed as nothing more than another instance of antisemitic racist barbs.

AFP

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during the 79th Session of the United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations headquarters in New York City on September 27, 2024.

It was in this strained atmosphere that Netanyahu chose to announce his grandiose vision of an Israeli endgame that he claimed would alone bring peace and prosperity to the region. What Netanyahu presented to the almost empty UN chamber (because many delegates left in protest of his speech) was a geopolitical package tied together with the verbiage of “the blessings of peace.”

It was essentially a manifesto in which stage one involved the destruction of Israel’s active adversaries, the proxies of Iran. It was to be followed by a stage two “historic peace agreement with Saudi Arabia” presented as a dramatic sequel to the Abraham Accords reached in the last period of Donald Trump’s presidency four years ago.

These words celebrating the emergence of “a new Middle East” were hyped by Netanyahu, who said, “what blessings such a peace with Saudi Arabia would bring.” Other than those who wanted to be fooled by such an envisioned endgame, informed persons realized it was little other than a crude example of state propaganda with little chance of happening and almost no prospect of delivering a bright, peaceful, prosperous future to the peoples of the region.

Netanyahu displayed a map of his new Middle East that assigned no presence to Palestinian statehood, even though Saudi Arabia has recently indicated that it would not establish peace with Israel until a Palestinian state existed.

Such an omission was not an oversight. The Netanyahu coalition with the far-right religious parties led by such extremists as National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich would collapse the instant any genuine commitment to Palestinian statehood was officially endorsed. It is impossible to believe that Netanyahu was unaware of this constraint, and so it seems unlikely, to put it mildly, that he expected any enthusiasm even in Washington for his vision of a peace-building endgame. The US had long hidden its Israeli partisanship behind the two-state mantra that was also a UN consensus that substituted piety for realism.

Probing Israel’s real endgame

Underneath the public relations idea of Israel’s endgame lies a worrisome reality. Even before the Netanyahu government took over at the beginning of 2023, it was evident that Israel’s political agenda was in hot pursuit of a publically undisclosed endgame that would complete the Zionist Project after a century of settler colonial striving.

This first became clear as a publicly endorsed goal when Israel’s government introduced a quasi-constitutional Basic Law in 2018. With it, Jewish supremacist rights were written into Israeli law as conferring the right of self-determination exclusively on the Jewish people, establishing Hebrew as Israel’s sole official language, and extending Israeli protective sovereignty to the occupied West Bank settlements that had been declared ‘unlawful.’

It was this legislative action by the Knesset that confirmed an Israeli endgame of a one-state solution widely known as “Greater Israel,” a formula for extending Israel’s sovereignty over the occupied West Bank and East Jerusalem in violation of international law and the UN consensus, including that of most Western countries.

Such a Basic Law cannot be changed in Israel, which lacks a written constitution, by normal legislative action, but only by a later overriding Basic Law.

When the Netanyahu coalition took over in January 2023 there were provocative signs that this 2018 Basic Law would be coercively expedited as Israel’s number-one priority. It was initially signaled by the informal, yet unmistakable, greenlighting of settler violence in the occupied West Bank with the pointed frequently articulated message to Palestinian residents: “leave or we will kill you.” This violence was tolerated by the IDF, which on some occasions joined in, without even producing a fake censure from Tel Aviv.

In September 2023, Netanyahu’s UN speech featuring a map of the region with no Palestine was reinforced by feverish diplomatic efforts to secure an Abrahamic normalization with some Arab states, further indications to establish so-called “Greater Israel”. These acts along with provocations at the Al Aqsa Mosque compound helped set the stage for the Hamas-led attack on October 7, an event itself now veiled in ambiguity that can only be removed by an international investigation.

Miscalculations on both sides

The world at first largely accepted, or at least tolerated, Israel’s version of October 7, including its retaliatory rationale given an international law cover as an exercise of the “right of self-defense”.

As further information became available, the original Israeli rationalization for its response to October 7 became problematic. It was established that the Netanyahu leadership had received several reliable warnings of an imminent Hamas attack.

After months of training including rehearsals of the Hamas attacks, it strains credulity to accept the official version that Israel’s world-class surveillance capabilities did not detect the impending attack. Further, the immediate magnitude and severity of the Israeli response raised suspicions that Israel was seeking a pretext to induce the forced evacuation of Palestinians from Gaza to be followed by their forced exit from the occupied West Bank.

These developments established a credible prelude to the formal establishment of “Greater Israel”, and the attainment of Israel’s real endgame.

In retrospect, both Hamas and Israel seem to have seriously miscalculated. Israel seems to have counted on genocidal violence producing either political surrender or cross-border evacuation, and a new wave of Palestinian refugees.

,,

Having endured so much, it is hard to envision any kind of acquiescence by the Palestinians, however decimated by the Israeli onslaught, of an endgame that doesn’t include the establishment of a viable Palestine political future.

Israel underestimated Palestinian attachment to the land and to the indignity of being made unwanted strangers in their own homeland, even in the face of total devastation. Israelis undoubtedly anticipate the growth of hostile public opinion around the world after an initial grace period after October 7 of indulging Israeli violence, given the widely endorsed accounts of atrocities inflicted and hostages seized in the Hamas-led attack.

On its side, Hamas underestimated the ferocity of the Israeli response apparently because it conceived of its attack in normal battlefield action and reaction patterns, and not linked to a grandiose Israeli endgame scenario.

Israel’s hollow claims of victory suggest that the Netanyahu coalition is as committed as earlier to the “Greater Israel” endgame, with the enlargement of the combat zone to include Lebanon, and maybe even Syria and Iran, as parts of the Israeli endgame quietly enlarged to include what is being called ‘restored deterrence.’

Having endured so much, it is hard to envision any kind of acquiescence by the Palestinians, however decimated by the Israeli onslaught, of an endgame that doesn’t include the establishment of a viable Palestine political future. This could be either a co-existing Palestinian state with full sovereign rights or a new safeguarded one-state confederation based on absolute equality between these two peoples with respect to the totality of human rights.

In conclusion, the political conditions do not currently begin to exist for an endgame that would satisfy the minimum expectations of both peoples.

The Criminal Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Iran

9 Aug

[Prefatory Note: This post originated in a series of responses to questions asked by a journalist writing a feature story for the Turkish publication, TRT World. My responses here are derived from that source but took on a different life of their own.]

[Prefatory Note: This post originated in a series of responses to questions asked by a journalist writing a feature story for the Turkish publication, TRT World. My responses here are derived from that source but took on a different life of their own.]

The Criminal Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Iran

What does Hamas chief Haniyeh’s assassination in Iran mean for the wider conflict?

It appears that none of the countries directly involved in the conflict with Israel–Lebanon, Iran, Syria, Yemen–seek a wider war in the Middle East. Only Israel, and its leader, Bibi Netanyahu seem to approach such a prospect favorably. This cycle of provocative acts followed by retaliations almost all initiated by Israel have their own escalating momentum that is difficult to control, and at some point, might merges with a deadly commitment to securing a wider victorious outcome.

There is much speculation that Netanyahu has his private motivations centering on his personal survival and the related likelihood that his coalition government would soon collapse after the Gaza war recedes from view. He was also associated with obsessively pushing a vendetta against Iran, especially recently as a useful distraction from the Gaza campaign that failed to achieve its main explicit objective of destroying Hamas and promoting the Greater Israel Project of territorial expansion.

Additionally, the recent cycles of tit-for-tat provocative acts almost exclusively initiated by Israel have an escalating momentum that is difficult to control, and at some point, merges with a commitment to securing a victorious outcome through sustained warfare.

Ismail Haniyeh’s July 31 assassination while attending the inauguration of the new president of Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, was a step in the direction of regional war. It was further aggravated because of the location, the occasion, Haniyeh’s reputation as a ‘moderate’ in the Hamas leadership circle. And even further by taking account of his current role as the chief negotiator in the search for a ceasefire, prisoner exchange, and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei immediately threatened a response that will be perceived as a ‘harsh punishment’ by political actors. The religious leader added that Iran is ‘duty-bound’ to inflict a response that ‘avenges’ the assassination. Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian offered his strong condemnation of the killing of Haniyeh: “We will make the occupying terrorist regime [of Israel] regret its action.”

This assassination may also be seen as Israel’s reaction to Iran and Hamas in the aftermath of the Unity Deal between Hamas and Fatah facilitated by the mediation efforts of China. The agreement signed in Beijing on July 23 by 14 Palestinian factions including Hamas and Fatah agreed on the composition of an ‘interim national reconciliation government,’ and seems to be the most serious effort to achieve Palestinian unity since Hamas emerged after the 1967 War. Mahmoud Abbas, leader of the Palestinian Authority (PA), made a meaningful gesture of his own that is being interpreted as an affirmation of the newfound unity of Palestinian resistance by joining in the condemnation of Israel for carrying out the assassination of Haniyeh. This seems significant as the PA has long been the bitter adversary of Hamas.

The Biden presidency seems intent on managing these tensions in such a way that avoids a general war in the region while not alienating Israel and its supporters in the West. It also purports to play its customary intermediary role in relation to Israel/Palestine conflict by putting forth a three-stage ceasefire, hostage/prisoner exchange, and Israeli Gaza withdrawal. It is odd that the Palestinians would accept such a diplomatic process, given the depth of US complicity in lending crucial support to the genocidal assault during the last ten months directed at the entire population of Gaza.

Even Iran despite its seeming commitment to revenging Haniyeh’s death while on a state visit to a high profile public event in Iran seems searching for a response that is viewed as retaliatory but as signaling its intent to avoid a war with Israel.

There are many actors involved with a wide range of disclosed and disguised motivations, making predictions hazardous. If a wider war  does occur, it will almost certainly be undertaken at Israel’s initiative, quite possibly reflecting Netanyahu’s personal animus. If Iran succeeds in inflicting heavy symbolic or substantive damage in executing its retaliatory attack, Israel might treat magnify the event as a suitable pretext for launching a wider war that I believe it would come to regret. Among other consequences, it may induce Iran to cross the nuclear weapons threshold, assuming this has not happened already. Given the security prerogatives of sovereign states, it would not seem unreasonable for Iran to seek a nuclear deterrent, given the threats and provocations over the years. Such a move would deeply challenge Israel and US-led anti-proliferation geopolitics, being a blow struck against the imperfect regional nonproliferation regime in the Middle East. So long as an aggressive Israel possesses and develops its own nuclear weaponry, without any pretense of accountability, the security situation highlights the double standards embedded in the Biden/Blinken ‘rules governed world.’



2. How will Iran respond to this? 

My earlier answer tentatively predicts a proportionate retaliation that may be treated by Israel as sufficiently ‘disproportionate’ to induce a further escalatory cycle. Although Iran has shown that it does not seek a wider war, it also seems poised to take risks to avoid being seen as weak by both adversaries and allies—the latter being demeaned by being called ‘proxies’ in the Washington and European official statements and media.

Although the world and particularly Iran, assumed that Israel was responsible for Haniyeh’s assassination, Israel failed to claim responsibility for several days.  Before doing so, Israel had been widely accused by Iran, and assumed responsible for this sovereignty-violating assassination. Israel’s official silence rather than offering an evidence-based denial strengthened the dominant impression that Israel was the culprit.

Also passed almost without prominent noticed was the almost simultaneous assassination of  Fuad Shukr, a senior Hezbollah military commander and close associate of accused by Israel of planning a deadly attack on a Druze town of Majjid-Shams in the Israel occupied Golan Heights, killing 12 children playing on a soccer field. Hezbollah denies responsibility for the attack, and it seems that whoever was responsible for the attack misfired as the missile hit a site unassociated with Israel.

3.   The Gaza/Hamas Angle

In a notable statement, the Prime Minister of Qatar, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, indirectly accused Israel of assassinating Haniyeh in a post published on social media. Al Thani observed, “How can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side?” referring to Haniyeh as one of the main mediators in the cease-fire talks between Israel and Hamas. And further, “Peace needs serious partners and a global stance against the disregard for human life.” Israel has failed to respond to such an allegation, although it seems to have backed a rumor that Iran might itself have carried out or at least facilitated this assassination.

The US has been the pioneer in relying on assassination as a major instrument of covert warfare during the Cold Year, generally under the auspices of the CIA. During the Carter presidency Senate hearings were held (‘Church Hearings’), leading to the issuance of Executive Order 11. 905 in 1977 prohibiting political assassinations. This Executive Order was later somewhat relaxed during the Reagan Presidency in the 1980s. There seems to be agreement that the ceasefire proposals that looked quite promising in the days before Haniyeh’s assassination now are indefinite hold given the

The Criminal Assassination of Ismail Haniyeh in Iran

What does Hamas chief Haniyeh’s assassination in Iran mean for the wider conflict?

It appears that none of the countries directly involved in the conflict with Israel–Lebanon, Iran, Syria, Yemen–seek a wider war in the Middle East. Only Israel, and its leader, Bibi Netanyahu seem to approach such a prospect favorably. This cycle of provocative acts followed by retaliations almost all initiated by Israel have their own escalating momentum that is difficult to control, and at some point, might merges with a deadly commitment to securing a wider victorious outcome.

There is much speculation that Netanyahu has his private motivations centering on his personal survival and the related likelihood that his coalition government would soon collapse after the Gaza war recedes from view. He was also associated with obsessively pushing a vendetta against Iran, especially recently as a useful distraction from the Gaza campaign that failed to achieve its main explicit objective of destroying Hamas and promoting the Greater Israel Project of territorial expansion.

Additionally, the recent cycles of tit-for-tat provocative acts almost exclusively initiated by Israel have an escalating momentum that is difficult to control, and at some point, merges with a commitment to securing a victorious outcome through sustained warfare.

Ismail Haniyeh’s July 31 assassination while attending the inauguration of the new president of Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, was a step in the direction of regional war. It was further aggravated because of the location, the occasion, Haniyeh’s reputation as a ‘moderate’ in the Hamas leadership circle. And even further by taking account of his current role as the chief negotiator in the search for a ceasefire, prisoner exchange, and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei immediately threatened a response that will be perceived as a ‘harsh punishment’ by political actors. The religious leader added that Iran is ‘duty-bound’ to inflict a response that ‘avenges’ the assassination. Iran’s new president, Masoud Pezeshkian offered his strong condemnation of the killing of Haniyeh: “We will make the occupying terrorist regime [of Israel] regret its action.”

This assassination may also be seen as Israel’s reaction to Iran and Hamas in the aftermath of the Unity Deal between Hamas and Fatah facilitated by the mediation efforts of China. The agreement signed in Beijing on July 23 by 14 Palestinian factions including Hamas and Fatah agreed on the composition of an ‘interim national reconciliation government,’ and seems to be the most serious effort to achieve Palestinian unity since Hamas emerged after the 1967 War. Mahmoud Abbas, leader of the Palestinian Authority (PA), made a meaningful gesture of his own that is being interpreted as an affirmation of the newfound unity of Palestinian resistance by joining in the condemnation of Israel for carrying out the assassination of Haniyeh. This seems significant as the PA has long been the bitter adversary of Hamas.

The Biden presidency seems intent on managing these tensions in such a way that avoids a general war in the region while not alienating Israel and its supporters in the West. It also purports to play its customary intermediary role in relation to Israel/Palestine conflict by putting forth a three-stage ceasefire, hostage/prisoner exchange, and Israeli Gaza withdrawal. It is odd that the Palestinians would accept such a diplomatic process, given the depth of US complicity in lending crucial support to the genocidal assault during the last ten months directed at the entire population of Gaza.

Even Iran despite its seeming commitment to revenging Haniyeh’s death while on a state visit to a high profile public event in Iran seems searching for a response that is viewed as retaliatory but as signaling its intent to avoid a war with Israel.

There are many actors involved with a wide range of disclosed and disguised motivations, making predictions hazardous. If a wider war  does occur, it will almost certainly be undertaken at Israel’s initiative, quite possibly reflecting Netanyahu’s personal animus. If Iran succeeds in inflicting heavy symbolic or substantive damage in executing its retaliatory attack, Israel might treat magnify the event as a suitable pretext for launching a wider war that I believe it would come to regret. Among other consequences, it may induce Iran to cross the nuclear weapons threshold, assuming this has not happened already. Given the security prerogatives of sovereign states, it would not seem unreasonable for Iran to seek a nuclear deterrent, given the threats and provocations over the years. Such a move would deeply challenge Israel and US-led anti-proliferation geopolitics, being a blow struck against the imperfect regional nonproliferation regime in the Middle East. So long as an aggressive Israel possesses and develops its own nuclear weaponry, without any pretense of accountability, the security situation highlights the double standards embedded in the Biden/Blinken ‘rules governed world.’



2. How will Iran respond to this? 

My earlier answer tentatively predicts a proportionate retaliation that may be treated by Israel as sufficiently ‘disproportionate’ to induce a further escalatory cycle. Although Iran has shown that it does not seek a wider war, it also seems poised to take risks to avoid being seen as weak by both adversaries and allies—the latter being demeaned by being called ‘proxies’ in the Washington and European official statements and media.

Although the world and particularly Iran, assumed that Israel was responsible for Haniyeh’s assassination, Israel failed to claim responsibility for several days.  Before doing so, Israel had been widely accused by Iran, and assumed responsible for this sovereignty-violating assassination. Israel’s official silence rather than offering an evidence-based denial strengthened the dominant impression that Israel was the culprit.

Also passed almost without prominent noticed was the almost simultaneous assassination of  Fuad Shukr, a senior Hezbollah military commander and close associate of accused by Israel of planning a deadly attack on a Druze town of Majjid-Shams in the Israel occupied Golan Heights, killing 12 children playing on a soccer field. Hezbollah denies responsibility for the attack, and it seems that whoever was responsible for the attack misfired as the missile hit a site unassociated with Israel.

3.   The Gaza/Hamas Angle

In a notable statement, the Prime Minister of Qatar, Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani, indirectly accused Israel of assassinating Haniyeh in a post published on social media. Al Thani observed, “How can mediation succeed when one party assassinates the negotiator on the other side?” referring to Haniyeh as one of the main mediators in the cease-fire talks between Israel and Hamas. And further, “Peace needs serious partners and a global stance against the disregard for human life.” Israel has failed to respond to such an allegation, although it seems to have backed a rumor that Iran might itself have carried out or at least facilitated this assassination.

The US has been the pioneer in relying on assassination as a major instrument of covert warfare during the Cold Year, generally under the auspices of the CIA. During the Carter presidency Senate hearings were held (‘Church Hearings’), leading to the issuance of Executive Order 11. 905 in 1977 prohibiting political assassinations. This Executive Order was later somewhat relaxed during the Reagan Presidency in the 1980s. There seems to be agreement that the ceasefire proposals that looked quite promising in the days before Haniyeh’s assassination now are indefinite hold given the leadership to the supposedly hardline Yahya Sinwar.

Israel has a long record of assassinations in Iran, including of high profile nuclear scientists (e.g. Mohsen Fakhrizadeh) and a much revered military commanded and diplomat. Qasem Solemani, in January 2020, the last days of the Trump presidency.

Political assassinations carried out on the territory of a foreign country in the form of an official undertaking of a government is a violation of international law, an act of aggression, and a violation of fundamental human rights standards.

Interrogating the Venuzeulan Victory of Nicolas Madura

6 Aug

Murat Sofuoglu

Venezuela election sparks geopolitical feud between US, China and Russia

Whether incumbent President Nicolas Maduro holds on to power could very well depend on his allies, and the result could have global ramifications.

Murat Sofuoglu

MURAT SOFUOGLU

Opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, left, and opposition presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez address supporters during a protest in Caracas, July 30, 2024. Photo/Cristian Hernandez
APOpposition leader Maria Corina Machado, left, and opposition presidential candidate Edmundo Gonzalez address supporters during a protest in Caracas, July 30, 2024. Photo/Cristian Hernandez

One week after Venezuela held its presidential election on July 28, the United States and its rivals China and Russia are taking sides in the debate over who actually won power in the South American state, which has had an anti-Western socialist leadership under President Nicolas Maduro. 

The US contests the official results declared by the National Electoral Council (CNE), the country’s election oversight authority, which said that Maduro won 51 percent against opposition candidate Edmundo González Urrutia’s 44 percent. 

Meanwhile China and Russia are standing by the incumbent president.

According to the US-backed opposition, Gonzalez won the presidency with a large margin. He has called for protests against Maduro, and anti-government demonstrations have been raging across Venezuela since the CNE’s declaration of election results. Maduro described the unrest as a far-right conspiracy against his government. 

Venezuela’s election has also divided Latin America, where pro-Western governments from Argentina to Peru, Panama and several other states rejected the official result. Countries like Cuba, which have socialist leaderships, have backed Maduro’s reelection. 

“At present, Maduro’s victory has received congratulatory messages from left governments in the region including Cuba, Nicaragua, and Bolivia and critical reactions from the US and European countries,” said Richard Falk, a leading international relations expert. 

Meanwhile, Mexico, Brazil and Colombia, the three critical Latin American countries with leftist or left-leaning governments, have distanced themselves from the US position. These nations have important interactions with both Russia and China, and oppose external interference to address the Venezuelan impasse. 

But the three states also called on Caracas to release details of election results, urging an internal “institutional solution”. Caracas says that a hacking attack prevents the electoral oversight body from releasing detailed outcomes as its website continues to be down. 

History of tensions

Venezuela has seen at least two failed coup attempts against anti-Western governments since the Bolivarian Revolution in 1999, which was launched by Venezuelan socialist leader Hugo Chavez, who passed away in 2013 which brought his protege Maduro to power.

APA mural of the late Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez with a message that reads in Spanish: “Chavez, the heart of our towns”, in Caracas, Venezuela, July 24, 2024. Photo/Fernando Vergara

The Bolivarian revolution refers to Simon Bolivar, a 19th-century Venezuelan leader who was instrumental in achieving the independence of some South American states from Spanish rule. Like Bolivar in the past, Chavez and later Maduro along with their allies have aimed to form an anti-Western socialist bloc across the region. 

“The natural stance of the opposition and of countries (Western powers) is to oppose Madurismo-Chavismo,” said Juan Martin Gonzalez Cabañas, a researcher at Moscow State Linguistic University (MSLU) and a Eurasia specialist at the Argentine-based Center of Studies “Soberanía”. 

Madurismo-Chavismo refers to the ongoing leftist governance in Venezuela since the Bolivarian revolution. So far, at least two failed coup attempts were launched against the Venezuelan socialist leadership. 

In 2002, US-linked forces ousted Chavez for a brief time from power, but in a dramatic reversal, much of the military loyal to Chavez restored him to power after a tense 47 hours. In 2020, there was another failed coup attempt against Maduro’s government. This one was orchestrated by Jordan Goudreau, a US Green Beret, who was recently arrested by the US in New York for arms smuggling.

“More or less impartial commentators believe that the political outcome will depend on whether the Venezuelan armed forces continue to back Maduro and whether the opposition is militant and organised enough to threaten the survival of the Maduro government,” Falk told TRT World. 

Cabanas assesses that Western powers’ antagonist relationship with Maduro and their approach to his reelection bid are clearly related to their political interests. “A [Venezuelan] government opposed to Chavismo would be more functional to their objectives,” he told TRT World.

Russia and China weigh in

On the other hand, the Kremlin is on the side of Maduro, “firmly” backing him and the outcomes of elections that recognised him and his government as winner of elections, according to Cabanas. 

AP ARCHIVEVenezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro, right, meets with Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, at Miraflores Presidential Palace in Caracas, Venezuela, April 18, 2023.

China, which has already congratulated Maduro on a third term following the release of election results, also reiterated its support for the socialist leader. 

“China will, as always, firmly support Venezuela’s efforts to safeguard national sovereignty, national dignity and social stability, and firmly support Venezuela’s just cause of opposing external interference,” President Xi Jinping said last week.

Both Chavez and Maduro have been long aligned with the anti-Western camp, ranging from Russia to China and regional leftist states like Cuba to counter US influence in Venezuela. 

But Caracas faces a serious economic recession under US-led sanctions, which has led more than 7.7 million Venezuelans to migrate to other countries, particularly the US, since 2014.

It’s difficult to present a fair assessment of the elections because “they are being undertaken in a country that operates in a state of economic siege and hostile relations with the United States,” said Alexander Moldovan, a researcher on social movements and security in Latin America at York University.

“Democracy and national security are difficult to balance,” Moldovan told TRT World, referring to the Venezuelan political dilemma. He sees that the country’s post-election process will be difficult as both pro-government and opposition forces have been entrenched into their firm positions. 

Prior to the election, Maduro has shown his flexibility and held talks with Washington to address the two countries’ differences, aiming to reach an agreement to ease sanctions. 

“Although Maduro’s victory is a win for the counter-hegemonic powers that counterweights the West, this fact should be measured in its proper context: Venezuela is facing an economic recovery after very hard years, and Chavismo is no longer an ideological ‘export brand’ as it used to be, at least in its region (South America/Latin America),” Cabanas added. 

Madurism and regional socialist trends

Falk said he believes that Madurism’s future might depend on how “governments with progressive credentials, such as Colombia, Brazil and Mexico, will influence” its perceptions outside Venezuela if the socialist leader’s reelection is “sustained in a future period that is bound to be turbulent.” 

APBolivia’s President Luis Arce, from left, Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva assemble for a group photo during the South American Summit at Itamaraty palace in Brasilia, Brazil, May 30, 2023. Photo/Andre Penner

The three countries are part of BRICS, a non-Western alliance, and have not sided with the Western stance, as Brazil’s leftist President Luiz Inácio “Lula” da Silva said he found “nothing abnormal” in the election process. 

“If Maduro manages to hold on, and especially if he gains support from Brazil and other moderate governments, it will be interpreted as a setback for ideologically motivated US coercive diplomacy, including an effort to exert political influence by imposing sanctions unilaterally,” Falk said. 

But if the opposite political scenario becomes a reality, then Maduro’s exit and opposition success could be perceived “as allied with the right and the beneficiary of US intervention,” according to Falk. This perception would essentially empower leftist tendencies in Latin America, “not so much for the sake of socialism or electoral integrity, but to assure sovereign rights and resistance to foreign intervention, especially on behalf of capitalist vested interests.” 

The professor also drew attention to the media’s use of political language when it comes to internal settings and processes of anti-Western states like Venezuela. 

While pro-Maduro forces describe María Corina Machado Parisca, a leading opposition leader, and Gonzales, as the leaders of “right-wing” or “far-right” groups, “the liberal media never uses this language, painting the struggle as between “autocratic” and “democratic” tendencies,” he said.

On the other hand, “Maduro describes his movement as one on behalf of the people, especially the poor and marginalised, rarely speaking of ‘socialism’ as the inspiration or goal,” he added.

SOURCE: TRT WORLD


Murat Sofuoglu

Murat Sofuoglu

Scientists form a Global Anti-War, Anti-Genocide Network: from Hiroshima to Gaza

7 Mar

[Prefatory Note: The post below is the slightly edited text of a keynote address to an organizational meeting for establish a worldwide network of Scientists Against War and the Destructive Use of Science as stimulated by the Israeli genocide against the civilian population of Gaza. This encouraging event of global scope occurred on December 9, 2023, some six weeks before the International Court of Justice issued its historic Interim Order on January 26, 2024 with a near unanimous vote supportive of the ‘plausibility’ of South Africa’s initiative undertaken in accord with Article IX of  the Genocide Convention to allow Parties to bring legal disputes as to the applicability of allegations of genocide to be resolved under the authority of ICJ. A video version of my talk is available: https://youtu.be/-kIb-NhVHiQ ].

I find the initiative that the organizing committee has taken in producing this Convention Against War and Destructive Use of Science: Scientists Against Israeli Apartheid, Occupation and Genocide to be a glimmer of light in a dark sky. A dark sky that is dominated by the most transparent instance of genocide in human history.

Where because of the capacity of worldwide media to show the daily unfolding of this terrible criminal action in Gaza and its related effects in the West Bank as well, the peoples of the world are exposed as never before to the concrete exposure of genocide in real time. Past genocides, even the Holocaust, have always been something relatively abstract from our consciousness, with its horrifying realities exposed long after the mass killing has stopped. This immediacy and unmistakable reality of the Gaza genocide, including the exposure of its sadistic details, intensifies the challenge to the collective conscience of humanity..  

What is happening in Gaza, it is not only a visible reality for the peoples of the world and the governments, the leaders and those in international institutions, it is also something that is reinforced by the explicit endorsement of such an approach to conflict as has been embarked upon by the leadership of Israel. Never has such a candid admission that one is striking against the people as a whole: cutting off their food and fuel and electricity, bombing their hospitals and places of shelter, targeting places where children and women gather. What is also shocking is that display of horror enjoyed the support and active complicity of several of the leading liberal democracies in the world. It suggests an imperial post-colonial posture toward the Global South in Western Europe and North America, which seems to be largely configured inter-civilizationally.

This Gaza onslaught is a dramatic horror story that makes this kind of transnational professionally grounded initiative against militarism so encouraging, a glimmer of light during dark times when many storm clouds hover close to planet earth. To oppose militarism all of its manifestations will hopefully become a dominant preoccupation of scientists and others, indeed for everyone with a global conscience to motivate them to feel that they must act responsibly in light of such developments that cloud the present and pose dire threats for the future..

Let me refer briefly to my experience with militarism and war-making. Having taught, as was said, at Princeton University for 40 years, I was surrounded by some of the world’s leading scientists including Robert Oppenheimer, John Wheeler, Murph Goldberger, and Freeman Dyson and others of global stature. What intrigued me then was the degree to which these outstanding scientists were enticed by the opportunity to take part in the security dimensions of government policy, which included feeding the militarist appetites of the private sector, exerting an unhealthy influence on public opinion, domestic politics, and a bloated bilateral peacetime military budget over the years by grossly exaggerating security threats and by the economically motivated projection of American power worldwide. This kind of toxic connection between scientists and government policy which is probably more extreme in both its character and effects in the United States than elsewhere.  being labeled by the US president ; the degree to which the US has the largest military budget and also is by far the largest arms supplier in the world, making it the largest source of military hardware and software among the national merchants of death. The US President, Dwight Eisenhower warned Americans about the dangers of ‘the military-industrial complex’ in his 1961 Farewell Address, a warning that to this day goes unheeded. Eisenhower’s words are worth recalling:

“we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military–industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists, and will persist.In actuality, the danger has increased in the last 62 years.

The other reinforcing experience I had was to visit the two leading nuclear strategic centers of global security policy, in the United States, and I take notice of two kinds of personalities that one encountered there. These were venues dominated by scientists.

One was a feeling that by contributing to the military development of weaponry and doctrine and so on scientists were somehow doing something in the “real world” and that this was a source of what struck me then as a kind of careerist excitement for them. And the other kind of scientific personality were people who didn’t know a great deal about politics but were indoctrinated into an unquestioning acceptance of the prevailing ideology of the time and were Cold War activists in a very superficial yet dogmatic way, This led them to believe that their work that consisted of helping with the development of weapons and the worst kind of weapons was something that was positive, that it contributed to a better world, both guarding the peace against the ideological enemy in Moscow and making the world safe for market-oriented constitutionalism.

In other words, ideology underpinned this enthusiasm for robust connections between the scientific community militarism that was broadly present in the society and very very salient, at least in the United States, throughout the entirety of the Cold War—and actually after the Cold War—because it saw the opportunity (with the collapse of the Soviet Union) to become the unipolar dominant presence in the world and didn’t have the imagination to choose anything other than the solidification of its military dominance as the path to establish and maintain its hegemonic role in international political life after the Cold. And this quest continues to guide American foreign policy despite rising resistance throughout the non-West. have focused on the United States partly because I know it best but also because I think it represents, in its own way, a powerful metaphor for the distortions that arise from this misbegotten marriage of militarism and knowledge as filtered through the brilliance of some of  the world’s finest scientists.

This kind of initiative, that you all are part of, is an overdue reaction. Perhaps the extremity of what’s happening in Gaza made many of us, regardless of professional orientation, to act in anti-militarist ways that we were not motivated to act before. It overcame a human tendency toward complacency and the feeling of helplessness about taking on these larger issues.

But I think that one of the revelations of this outbreak of genocide in Gaza is the helplessness of the formal structures of war prevention and the protection of peoples against abusive behavior. The UN, which was supposedly created as a war prevention institution after World War II, was, in a sense, designed by its founders to fail because it gave the five most powerful countries in the world the authority to block any kind of effective response that might oppose or neutralize militarism and aggressive and criminal undertakings in the course of war, epitomized by vesting a veto power in the winners of World War II.

This awakening from decades of indulging militarism which I think is happening in many domains, not just among scientists. I’m part of a parallel initiative of so-called global intellectuals that is similarly awakening to the fact that if the peoples of the world do not take responsibility, nothing effective will be done to curtail the menace of militarism and destructive warfare.

And so, this initiative among scientists is systemically important, giving rise that it strengthens over time, and does not dissipate when the current crisis subsides. .

There’s one other general factor that hasn’t often been taken into account, that despite this surge of militarism in the post-Cold War and present world: militarism hasn’t produced political results associated with costly investments in achieving military superiority nationally, regionally, and globally. In the post-1945 period, the large investments in military capabilities have proved in most combat zones to be dysfunctional. In a series of symbolic activities that sought to bring to bear military superiority as a way of controlling the political outcomes in Global South combat zones have ended in political defeat for the side controlling battlefield results. And the assumption of those that make foreign policy for almost all leading governments is that history is constituted by those that prevail in military conflicts. That, in other words, that war and militarism continue to have the same historical agency that in earlier times allowed  European colonialism to control most of the non-West.

But recent international experience defies that understanding and the US especially should have learned this by its decade-long experience in the Vietnam War. In that war  the US had complete military dominance yet lost the war. It is important to understand tat the lessons of that political defeat cannot be learned by these militarist governing elites. This is because there’s too strong a vested interest in persisting with the belief that military agency is what controls political outcomes and shapes history, a view that although contrary to experience continues to prevail in the coopted most influential media platforms throughout most of the world, reflecting as well the decline of independent media in even the most respected political democracies.

If Vietnam wasn’t enough of a pedagogic experience, then the 20-year commitment to state building in Iraq and in Afghanistan should have been a breakthrough that would encourage a more critical political consciousness in relation to military approaches to global security in the 21st century. But again, the energies of the militarist leverage within societies remained too strong to learn the lesson that in a post-colonial period of important powers, exhibited by persistent national mobilization in response to foreign intervention, that military superiority does not any longer produce favorable cost/benefit calculation. Any objective assessment of all the—not only the examples I’ve given—but Libya, Yemen, Syria, all of these venues of military intervention produced devastation, to be sure. But they didn’t satisfy the objectives of those who invested lives and trillions of dollars in achieving control the political outcomes, losing out both normatively and geopolitically as well.

Basically that’s a constructive reality, and it’s not just applicable to the United States. All the colonial wars with European states were won by the weaker side militarily. And that’s a terribly important lesson. Why it can’t be learned is because it would undercut the profitability of the arms industry and the power of the military within governmental bureaucracies. So what was done after the Vietnam War was not a matter of controlling involvement or the preparation for less militarist, more prudent forms of security, but instead the development of new weapons and the employment of scientists in that process, that is, the cure for the failures of militarism is to invest more intelligently and even more expansively in militarism, a seeming unbreakable cycle that is not susceptible to repudiation by repeated experiences of failure and moral/legal outrage. It will take anti-militarist pressures generated from within civil society, and hopefully achieving global scope and influence.

In effort to control the media during future intervention, the popular slogan in the US was that the Vietnam War was lost not on the battlefield in Vietnam but in the American living room. The idea was that the media would be more subjected to the discipline of a militarized political consciousness was accorded by a high policy priority by think tank and foreign policy elites..

Let me bring these remarks to an end by going back to the Gaza reality for a moment and saying that the Israeli practice there of genocide is in a sense a recognition of the futility of war as between two military capabilities. This is a war against people. And it’s a war that can be won only by the elimination or the dispossession of people. In that sense, it is a correct, perverse, and surrealistic recognition of the futility of conventional war as a way of shaping politics. It’s a horrifying reaction to that futility by resorting to an explicit avowal of genocide as the basis of Israeli security and territorial ambition in a sense, particularly applicable in contexts of settler colonial projects that to succeed must eliminate or totally marginalize the indigenous population, making even longtime residents, strangers in their own homelands.

So let me end by saying I applaud the draft Declaration, which I think is a very powerful document, and I hope that this initiative will lead to a worldwide process of anti-militarism and anti-war sentiment that will enlist powerful support from scientists and widespread respect from independent media, peace minded governments, and citizens of concern and conscience.

Thank you very much for giving me this opportunity to speak at this important occasion.